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Championship
Referee: Darren Bond
Preston
S U U S S
0–0
Full-time
Millwall
U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Preston Millwall
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,5
This season — Championship · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
25%
38%
Both score Ø 32%
25%
38%
Average goals
1,5
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
0,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
12 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Preston 4. · Millwall 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leeds 8 5 2 1 +11 17
2 Wolves 8 5 2 1 +5 17
3 Cardiff 8 5 2 1 +5 17
4 Preston 8 4 3 1 +6 15
5 Ipswich 7 5 0 2 +4 15
6 Sheffield United 8 5 0 3 +2 15
7 Bristol City 8 3 4 1 +5 13
8 Middlesbrough 7 4 1 2 +5 13
9 Sheffield Weds 8 3 4 1 +3 13
10 Nott'm Forest 8 4 0 4 -2 12
11 QPR 8 3 2 3 +0 11
12 Norwich 8 3 2 3 -4 11
13 Fulham 8 2 4 2 +1 10
14 Derby 7 3 1 3 +0 10
15 Millwall 8 2 3 3 +2 9
16 Aston Villa 7 2 3 2 +1 9
17 Hull 8 2 2 4 -1 8
18 Reading 7 2 2 3 -1 8
19 Burton Albion 8 2 2 4 -9 8
20 Barnsley 7 2 1 4 -3 7
21 Sunderland 8 1 3 4 -5 6
22 Brentford 8 0 4 4 -5 4
23 Birmingham 8 1 1 6 -8 4
24 Bolton 8 0 2 6 -12 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Preston Millwall
Tom Barkhuizen 🟨
17′
Paul Huntington 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
55′
🔁 S. Ferguson
↦ F. Onyedinma
A. Browne 🔁
↦ J. Harrop
60′
S. Mavididi 🔁
↦ T. Barkhuizen
68′
78′
🟨 Jed Wallace
C. Robinson 🔁
↦ D. Johnson
82′
Darnell Fisher 🟨
84′
85′
🔁 R. Tunnicliffe
↦ A. OBrien
95′
🔁 M. Romeo
↦ J. Wallace
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Preston

4-2-3-1
22 C. Maxwell G
23 P. Huntington D
14 D. Fisher D
20 B. Davies D
19 J. Welsh M
29 T. Barkhuizen M
11 D. Johnson M
10 J. Harrop M
32 J. Earl D
24 S. Maguire F
9 J. Hugill F
Bench (7)
8 A. Browne
27 S. Mavididi
37 C. Robinson
7 D. Horgan
15 C. Woods
17 T. Spurr
28 M. Hudson

Coach: A. Neil

Millwall

4-4-2
1 J. Archer G
3 J. Meredith D
17 B. Webster D
4 S. Hutchinson D
2 C. McLaughlin D
6 S. Williams M
14 J. Wallace M
23 G. Saville M
20 S. Morison F
22 A. O'Brien M
10 F. Onyedinma M
Bench (7)
11 S. Ferguson
18 R. Tunnicliffe
12 M. Romeo
16 D. Martin
5 T. Craig
21 K. Twardek
35 J. Cooper

Coach: N. Harris

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Darren Bond · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.