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Championship
Referee: Geoff Eltringham
Hull
S S T U U
4–0
Full-time
QPR
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hull QPR
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
This season — Championship · 40/40 matches
Win Ø 28%
23%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
58%
53%
Both score Ø 62%
60%
63%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 10
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Hull 18. · QPR 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 41 27 8 6 +38 89
2 Cardiff 40 24 8 8 +28 80
3 Fulham 37 20 11 6 +29 71
4 Aston Villa 38 19 9 10 +23 66
5 Derby 37 17 13 7 +20 64
6 Middlesbrough 38 18 8 12 +18 62
7 Bristol City 40 16 14 10 +11 62
8 Millwall 40 16 14 10 +11 62
9 Sheffield United 41 18 8 15 +7 62
10 Preston 40 15 15 10 +7 60
11 Brentford 40 15 13 12 +9 58
12 Norwich 41 14 13 14 -6 55
13 Ipswich 40 15 8 17 -2 53
14 Leeds 40 15 8 17 -4 53
15 QPR 40 13 11 16 -8 50
16 Sheffield Weds 40 11 14 15 -6 47
17 Nott'm Forest 39 13 7 19 -13 46
18 Hull 40 9 14 17 -6 41
19 Reading 40 9 12 19 -15 39
20 Bolton 40 9 12 19 -25 39
21 Birmingham 40 11 6 23 -27 39
22 Barnsley 40 8 13 19 -18 37
23 Sunderland 40 6 13 21 -29 31
24 Burton Albion 40 7 10 23 -42 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hull QPR
15′
🔁 J. Robinson
↦ J. Lynch
Jarrod Bowen 🟨
30′
30′
🟨 Jake Bidwell
1–0 H. Wilson
A. Hernández
42′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Idrissa Sylla
↦ R. Manning
1–1 A. Smithies
own goal
49′
K. Grosicki 🔁
↦ J. Bowen
52′
J. Irvine 🔁
↦ Jon Toral
59′
2–1 K. Grosicki
H. Wilson
62′
67′
🔁 B. Osayi-Samuel
↦ P. Wszołek
3–1 A. Hernández
M. Henriksen
69′
F. Campbell 🔁
↦ A. Hernández
71′
Jackson Irvine 🟨
81′
Markus Henriksen 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Josh Scowen
90′
🟥 Nedum Onuoha
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Hull

4-2-3-1
1 A. McGregor G
21 M. Dawson D
5 M. Hector D
34 O. Aina D
24 M. Clark D
16 S. Larsson M
22 M. Henriksen M
11 Jon Toral M
49 H. Wilson M
10 A. Hernández F
20 J. Bowen M
Bench (7)
7 K. Grosicki
4 J. Irvine
25 F. Campbell
8 D. Meyler
12 D. Marshall
29 F. Tomori
50 A. MacDonald

Coach: N. Adkins

QPR

4-2-3-1
1 A. Smithies
5 N. Onuoha D
6 J. Lynch D
3 J. Bidwell D
2 D. Furlong D
22 P. Wszołek M
11 J. Scowen M
21 M. Luongo M
14 R. Manning M
30 E. Eze F
7 L. Freeman M
Bench (7)
18 J. Robinson
40 Idrissa Sylla
34 B. Osayi-Samuel
8 J. Cousins
13 M. Ingram
20 A. Baptiste
37 P. Smyth

Coach: I. Holloway

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Geoff Eltringham · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.