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Championship
Referee: James Linington
QPR
S T S U T
2–1
Full-time
Hull
T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

QPR Hull
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
4,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,7
3,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,7
This season — Championship · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%
11 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Corners 5
4 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match QPR 12. · Hull 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cardiff 3 3 0 0 +6 9
2 Wolves 3 3 0 0 +4 9
3 Ipswich 3 3 0 0 +3 9
4 Middlesbrough 3 2 0 1 +2 6
5 Nott'm Forest 3 2 0 1 +1 6
6 Sheffield United 4 2 0 2 -1 6
7 Sunderland 3 1 2 0 +2 5
8 Leeds 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 Hull 3 1 1 1 +2 4
10 Bristol City 3 1 1 1 +1 4
11 Norwich 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 QPR 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Preston 3 1 1 1 +0 4
14 Birmingham 4 1 1 2 -1 4
15 Reading 3 1 1 1 -1 4
16 Derby 3 1 1 1 -1 4
17 Fulham 3 0 3 0 +0 3
18 Barnsley 4 1 0 3 -3 3
19 Burton Albion 4 1 0 3 -5 3
20 Bolton 3 0 2 1 -1 2
21 Sheffield Weds 3 0 2 1 -1 2
22 Brentford 3 0 1 2 -2 1
23 Millwall 3 0 1 2 -2 1
24 Aston Villa 3 0 1 2 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

QPR Hull
10′
🔁 A. Diomande
↦ K. Stewart
35′
J. Bowen 0–1
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 O. Mazuch
↦ F. Campbell
56′
🟨 David Meyler
M. Smith 🔁
↦ K. LuaLua
57′
60′
🟨 Sebastian Larsson
P. Wszołek 🔁
↦ A. Baptiste
63′
Idrissa Sylla 🔁
↦ J. Mackie
72′
1–1 M. Smith
L. Freeman
74′
James Perch 🟨
82′
87′
🟨 Allan McGregor
Matt Smith 🟨
90′
Idrissa Sylla 🟨
90′
2–1 Idrissa Sylla
91′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

QPR

4-3-1-2
1 A. Smithies
5 N. Onuoha D
20 A. Baptiste D
24 J. Perch D
3 J. Bidwell D
35 K. LuaLua M
11 J. Scowen M
21 M. Luongo M
12 J. Mackie F
7 L. Freeman M
9 C. Washington F
Bench (7)
17 M. Smith
22 P. Wszołek
40 Idrissa Sylla
2 D. Furlong
13 M. Ingram
14 R. Manning
16 A. Borysiuk

Coach: I. Holloway

Hull

4-2-3-1
1 A. McGregor G
21 M. Dawson D
5 M. Hector D
34 O. Aina D
24 M. Clark D
16 S. Larsson M
8 D. Meyler M
35 K. Stewart M
7 K. Grosicki M
25 F. Campbell F
20 J. Bowen M
Bench (7)
14 A. Diomande
3 O. Mazuch
13 W. Mannion
17 J. Weir
18 D. Batty
26 G. Olley
30 B. Lenihan

Coach: L. Slutsky

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

James Linington · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.