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Championship
Referee: Robert Jones
Blackburn
U S U T T
4–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Blackburn Sheffield Weds
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,5
This season — Championship · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 32%
32%
32%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
47%
74%
Both score Ø 69%
63%
74%
Average goals
2,6
2,9
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
18 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 7
1 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Blackburn 13. · Sheffield Weds 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 19 11 4 4 +11 37
2 Leeds 19 10 6 3 +13 36
3 Middlesbrough 19 9 8 2 +12 35
4 West Brom 19 10 4 5 +14 34
5 Sheffield United 20 10 4 6 +8 34
6 Nott'm Forest 19 7 10 2 +9 31
7 Derby 18 9 4 5 +8 31
8 Aston Villa 19 7 7 5 +6 28
9 QPR 19 8 4 7 -4 28
10 Birmingham 19 6 9 4 +3 27
11 Swansea 19 7 5 7 +2 26
12 Stoke 19 6 8 5 +0 26
13 Blackburn 19 6 8 5 -6 26
14 Bristol City 19 7 4 8 +0 25
15 Wigan 19 7 3 9 -5 24
16 Sheffield Weds 19 6 5 8 -9 23
17 Preston 19 5 7 7 -1 22
18 Brentford 19 5 6 8 +2 21
19 Rotherham 19 4 8 7 -9 20
20 Reading 19 4 5 10 -6 17
21 Millwall 19 4 5 10 -9 17
22 Hull 19 4 5 10 -10 17
23 Bolton 19 4 5 10 -13 17
24 Ipswich 19 1 8 10 -16 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Blackburn Sheffield Weds
1–0 D. Graham
11′
Paul Downing 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 A. Nuhiu
↦ S. Fletcher
46′
🔁 F. Forestieri
↦ Marco Matias
2–0 B. Dack
D. Graham
53′
57′
🟨 Barry Bannan
62′
Lucas João 2–1
F. Forestieri
3–1 D. Graham
66′
85′
David Raya 4–1
own goal
L. Travis 🔁
↦ C. Evans
86′
5–1 D. Graham
B. Dack
90′
B. Brereton 🔁
↦ D. Graham
93′
A. Armstrong 🔁
↦ B. Dack
94′
94′
🔁 J. Onomah
↦ F. Forestieri
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Blackburn

4-2-3-1
1 David Raya G
14 C. Mulgrew D
25 P. Downing D
3 D. Williams D
2 R. Nyambe D
32 C. Conway M
29 C. Evans M
6 R. Smallwood M
23 B. Dack M
4 H. Reed M
10 D. Graham F
Bench (7)
27 L. Travis
7 A. Armstrong
19 B. Brereton
8 J. Rothwell
13 J. Leutwiler
24 J. Nuttall
45 K. Palmer

Coach: T. Mowbray

Sheffield Weds

4-2-3-1
25 C. Dawson G
15 T. Lees D
34 M. Hector D
20 A. Reach M
12 J. Thorniley D
10 B. Bannan M
2 L. Palmer D
8 J. Pelupessy M
9 S. Fletcher F
19 Marco Matias F
18 Lucas João F
Bench (7)
17 A. Nuhiu
45 F. Forestieri
7 J. Onomah
6 M. Fox
28 J. Wildsmith
36 D. Pudil
42 M. Penney

Coach: J. Luhukay

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Robert Jones · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.