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Championship
Referee: Scott Duncan
West Brom
S U S T T
1–1
Full-time
Blackburn
U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Brom Blackburn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
This season — Championship · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 43%
50%
36%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
64%
50%
Both score Ø 68%
79%
57%
Average goals
3,9
2,6
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
20 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match West Brom 4. · Blackburn 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Middlesbrough 15 7 6 2 +9 27
2 Sheffield United 14 8 2 4 +7 26
3 Derby 14 7 4 3 +9 25
4 West Brom 14 7 3 4 +10 24
5 Norwich 14 7 3 4 +2 24
6 Leeds 13 6 5 2 +11 23
7 QPR 15 7 2 6 -4 23
8 Nott'm Forest 14 5 7 2 +6 22
9 Bristol City 14 6 4 4 +4 22
10 Blackburn 14 5 6 3 -2 21
11 Swansea 14 5 5 4 +4 20
12 Birmingham 14 4 8 2 +3 20
13 Wigan 14 6 2 6 -2 20
14 Sheffield Weds 14 5 4 5 -3 19
15 Brentford 14 4 6 4 +4 18
16 Aston Villa 15 4 6 5 -1 18
17 Stoke 14 4 5 5 -2 17
18 Bolton 14 4 4 6 -8 16
19 Preston 14 3 4 7 -5 13
20 Millwall 14 3 4 7 -7 13
21 Rotherham 14 3 4 7 -10 13
22 Reading 14 3 3 8 -4 12
23 Hull 14 2 3 9 -10 9
24 Ipswich 14 1 6 7 -11 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

West Brom Blackburn
16′
🔁 A. Bell
↦ C. Mulgrew
Kyle Bartley 🟨
17′
22′
🟨 Kasey Palmer
1–0 C. Dawson
M. Phillips
40′
Half-time 1–0
58′
🔁 L. Travis
↦ J. Rodwell
W. Hoolahan 🔁
↦ B. Sako
61′
67′
🔁 A. Armstrong
↦ K. Palmer
71′
H. Reed 1–1
C. Brunt 🔁
↦ H. Barnes
76′
H. Robson-Kanu 🔁
↦ K. Bartley
87′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

West Brom

3-4-1-2
1 S. Johnstone G
25 C. Dawson D
5 K. Bartley D
14 C. Townsend D
24 T. Adarabioyo D
7 J. Morrison M
10 M. Phillips M
8 J. Livermore M
15 H. Barnes F
19 J. Rodriguez F
6 B. Sako F
Bench (7)
22 W. Hoolahan
11 C. Brunt
4 H. Robson-Kanu
12 T. Mears
13 G. Myhill
17 O. Burke
28 S. Field

Coach: D. Moore

Blackburn

4-2-3-1
1 David Raya G
14 C. Mulgrew D
3 D. Williams D
32 C. Conway M
5 J. Rodwell M
31 E. Bennett M
6 R. Smallwood M
8 J. Rothwell M
23 B. Dack M
4 H. Reed M
45 K. Palmer M
Bench (7)
17 A. Bell
27 L. Travis
7 A. Armstrong
10 D. Graham
13 J. Leutwiler
19 B. Brereton
29 C. Evans

Coach: T. Mowbray

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Scott Duncan · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.