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Bundesliga

Referee: Robert Kampka

Hoffenheim

S S S S U

1–1

Full-time

Schalke 04

T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Schalke 04

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

4,2

3,0

Scored

2,8

1,7

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

92%

42%

Both score Ø 63%

92%

33%

Average goals

3,8

2,5

Scored

2,3

1,1

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

20 Shots 15

7 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 10

3 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hoffenheim 6. · Schalke 04 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	13	10	3	0	+24	33
2	M'gladbach	12	8	2	2	+16	26
3	Bayern Munich	13	7	3	3	+7	24
4	Ein Frankfurt	12	7	2	3	+15	23
5	RB Leipzig	12	6	4	2	+12	22
6	Hoffenheim	12	6	2	4	+9	20
7	Hertha	13	5	5	3	+1	20
8	Werder Bremen	13	5	3	5	-1	18
9	Mainz	13	5	3	5	-2	18
10	Wolfsburg	12	4	3	5	-1	15
11	Leverkusen	12	4	2	6	-6	14
12	Freiburg	13	3	5	5	-6	14
13	Augsburg	13	3	4	6	-2	13
14	Schalke 04	12	4	1	7	-4	13
15	Stuttgart	13	3	2	8	-17	11
16	Nurnberg	12	2	4	6	-16	10
17	Hannover	13	2	3	8	-13	9
18	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	2	3	8	-16	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	7	6	1	0	+16	19
2	M'gladbach	6	6	0	0	+15	18
3	RB Leipzig	6	4	2	0	+12	14
4	Hertha	6	3	2	1	+2	11
5	Mainz	7	3	2	2	+1	11
6	Ein Frankfurt	5	3	1	1	+11	10
7	Hoffenheim	6	3	1	2	+5	10
8	Bayern Munich	6	2	3	1	+1	9
9	Schalke 04	6	3	0	3	+0	9
10	Freiburg	7	2	3	2	-1	9
11	Nurnberg	6	2	2	2	+1	8
12	Werder Bremen	7	2	2	3	-3	8
13	Wolfsburg	7	2	2	3	-3	8
14	Hannover	6	2	1	3	-2	7
15	Leverkusen	6	2	1	3	-4	7
16	Stuttgart	6	2	1	3	-8	7
17	Augsburg	6	1	3	2	+0	6
18	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	2	0	5	-4	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	7	5	0	2	+6	15
2	Dortmund	6	4	2	0	+8	14
3	Ein Frankfurt	7	4	1	2	+4	13
4	Hoffenheim	6	3	1	2	+4	10
5	Werder Bremen	6	3	1	2	+2	10
6	Hertha	7	2	3	2	-1	9
7	M'gladbach	6	2	2	2	+1	8
8	RB Leipzig	6	2	2	2	+0	8
9	Wolfsburg	5	2	1	2	+2	7
10	Augsburg	7	2	1	4	-2	7
11	Leverkusen	6	2	1	3	-2	7
12	Mainz	6	2	1	3	-3	7
13	Freiburg	6	1	2	3	-5	5
14	Schalke 04	6	1	1	4	-4	4
15	Stuttgart	7	1	1	5	-9	4
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	0	3	3	-12	3
17	Hannover	7	0	2	5	-11	2
18	Nurnberg	6	0	2	4	-17	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.