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Eredivisie
Referee: Joey Kooij
Heerenveen
T S U T T
3–1
Full-time
For Sittard
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen For Sittard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,5
4,0
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 27%
23%
31%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
62%
77%
Both score Ø 73%
69%
77%
Average goals
4,2
3,8
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
2,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
17 Shots 15
9 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 1
3 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heerenveen 13. · For Sittard 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 13 13 0 0 +41 39
2 Ajax 13 11 1 1 +35 34
3 Feyenoord 12 8 2 2 +10 26
4 Utrecht 13 6 4 3 +7 22
5 Heracles 13 6 2 5 -2 20
6 AZ Alkmaar 14 5 4 5 +2 19
7 VVV Venlo 12 5 4 3 +2 19
8 For Sittard 13 4 4 5 +2 16
9 Vitesse 12 4 4 4 +1 16
10 Willem II 14 4 4 6 -3 16
11 Excelsior 14 4 4 6 -12 16
12 Den Haag 13 4 3 6 -10 15
13 Heerenveen 13 3 5 5 -6 14
14 Zwolle 14 4 2 8 -8 14
15 FC Emmen 14 3 5 6 -13 14
16 Groningen 12 3 1 8 -8 10
17 De Graafschap 14 3 1 10 -21 10
18 NAC Breda 13 2 2 9 -17 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heerenveen For Sittard
1–0 D. Høegh
Y. Kobayashi
43′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 A. Zeneli
47′
48′
L. Lamprou 2–1
José Rodríguez
51′
🟨 Branislav Niňaj
56′
🟨 Mica
Yuki Kobayashi 🟨
62′
69′
🔁 André Vidigal
↦ A. El Messaoudi
74′
🟨 Mark Diemers
75′
🔁 A. Novakovich
↦ Lisandro Semedo
3–1 P. van Amersfoort
79′
J. Hornkamp 🔁
↦ M. van Bergen
81′
81′
🔁 A. Ciss
↦ Mica Pinto
R. Kongolo 🔁
↦ A. Zeneli
87′
J. Bruijn 🔁
↦ M. Vlap
91′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Heerenveen

4-3-3
1 W. Hahn G
3 D. Høegh D
16 L. Woudenberg D
2 S. Floranus D
5 K. Pierie D
21 Y. Kobayashi M
10 B. Rienstra M
19 P. van Amersfoort M
18 M. Vlap M
13 A. Zeneli F
11 M. van Bergen F
Bench (8)
35 J. Hornkamp
15 R. Kongolo
26 J. Bruijn
7 M. Rojas
17 N. Mihajlović
23 F. Bednarek
24 T. Doornbusch
27 V. Drkušić

Coach: J. Olde Riekerink

For Sittard

4-3-3
77 A. Koşelev G
23 Mica Pinto D
5 B. Ňinaj D
3 W. Dammers D
2 C. Essers D
34 José Rodríguez M
10 M. Diemers M
8 A. El Messaoudi M
14 Lisandro Semedo F
97 L. Lamprou F
19 F. Stokkers F
Bench (9)
7 André Vidigal
9 A. Novakovich
20 A. Ciss
1 A. Özer
4 K. Heerings
6 J. Smeets
13 M. Ospitalieri
17 A. Ciranni
27 R. Koot

Coach: R. Eijer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Joey Kooij · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.