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Eredivisie

Referee: Allard Lindhout

AZ Alkmaar

T T S S U

0–2

Full-time

Willem II

U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Willem II

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

1,2

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 31%

38%

23%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

69%

62%

Both score Ø 62%

62%

Average goals

3,4

3,6

Scored

1,8

1,6

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

72% Possession 28%

16 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 1

1 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 6. · Willem II 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	13	13	0	0	+41	39
2	Ajax	13	11	1	1	+35	34
3	Feyenoord	12	8	2	2	+10	26
4	Utrecht	13	6	4	3	+7	22
5	Heracles	13	6	2	5	-2	20
6	AZ Alkmaar	13	5	4	4	+4	19
7	VVV Venlo	12	5	4	3	+2	19
8	For Sittard	13	4	4	5	+2	16
9	Vitesse	12	4	4	4	+1	16
10	Excelsior	14	4	4	6	-12	16
11	Den Haag	13	4	3	6	-10	15
12	Heerenveen	13	3	5	5	-6	14
13	FC Emmen	14	3	5	6	-13	14
14	Willem II	13	3	4	6	-5	13
15	Zwolle	13	3	2	8	-10	11
16	Groningen	12	3	1	8	-8	10
17	De Graafschap	13	3	1	9	-19	10
18	NAC Breda	13	2	2	9	-17	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	7	7	0	0	+26	21
2	Feyenoord	6	6	0	0	+11	18
3	Ajax	6	5	1	0	+18	16
4	Utrecht	7	5	1	1	+11	16
5	Heracles	6	5	0	1	+9	15
6	For Sittard	7	3	2	2	+5	11
7	VVV Venlo	6	3	2	1	+5	11
8	AZ Alkmaar	6	2	3	1	+5	9
9	De Graafschap	7	3	0	4	-4	9
10	Excelsior	8	2	3	3	-7	9
11	Vitesse	5	2	2	1	+1	8
12	NAC Breda	7	2	1	4	-4	7
13	Den Haag	6	2	1	3	-6	7
14	FC Emmen	7	1	3	3	-3	6
15	Willem II	6	1	2	3	+1	5
16	Groningen	6	1	1	4	-3	4
17	Zwolle	7	1	1	5	-4	4
18	Heerenveen	6	0	3	3	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	6	0	1	+17	18
2	PSV Eindhoven	6	6	0	0	+15	18
3	Heerenveen	7	3	2	2	+2	11
4	AZ Alkmaar	7	3	1	3	-1	10
5	Vitesse	7	2	2	3	+0	8
6	Feyenoord	6	2	2	2	-1	8
7	VVV Venlo	6	2	2	2	-3	8
8	Den Haag	7	2	2	3	-4	8
9	Willem II	7	2	2	3	-6	8
10	FC Emmen	7	2	2	3	-10	8
11	Excelsior	6	2	1	3	-5	7
12	Zwolle	6	2	1	3	-6	7
13	Utrecht	6	1	3	2	-4	6
14	Groningen	6	2	0	4	-5	6
15	For Sittard	6	1	2	3	-3	5
16	Heracles	7	1	2	4	-11	5
17	NAC Breda	6	0	1	5	-13	1
18	De Graafschap	6	0	1	5	-15	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.