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Bundesliga
Referee: Felix Brych
Hannover
U T T S T
0–2
Full-time
Hertha
U U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hannover Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
2,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
75%
58%
Both score Ø 71%
83%
58%
Average goals
3,4
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
11 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 8
5 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 6
1 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hannover 16. · Hertha 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 12 9 3 0 +22 30
2 M'gladbach 12 8 2 2 +16 26
3 Ein Frankfurt 12 7 2 3 +15 23
4 RB Leipzig 12 6 4 2 +12 22
5 Bayern Munich 12 6 3 3 +6 21
6 Hoffenheim 12 6 2 4 +9 20
7 Werder Bremen 12 5 3 4 +0 18
8 Mainz 13 5 3 5 -2 18
9 Hertha 12 4 5 3 -1 17
10 Wolfsburg 12 4 3 5 -1 15
11 Freiburg 12 3 5 4 -4 14
12 Leverkusen 12 4 2 6 -6 14
13 Augsburg 12 3 4 5 -1 13
14 Schalke 04 12 4 1 7 -4 13
15 Nurnberg 12 2 4 6 -16 10
16 Hannover 12 2 3 7 -11 9
17 Fortuna Dusseldorf 13 2 3 8 -16 9
18 Stuttgart 12 2 2 8 -18 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hannover Hertha
29′
🟨 Arne Maier
38′
🟨 Davie Selke
44′
J. Torunarigha 0–1
V. Lazaro
Half-time 0–1
P. Schwegler 🔁
↦ M. Bakalorz
53′
58′
🟨 Marko Grujić
Pirmin Schwegler 🟨
63′
G. Haraguchi 🔁
↦ F. Muslija
66′
69′
🔁 M. Mittelstädt
↦ S. Kalou
H. Weydandt 🔁
↦ J. Korb
70′
Josip Elez 🟨
72′
73′
V. Ibišević 0–2
J. Torunarigha
80′
🔁 P. Köpke
↦ V. Ibišević
87′
🔁 P. Dárdai
↦ M. Leckie
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Hannover

4-2-3-1
23 M. Esser G
3 M. Albornoz D
4 J. Korb M
2 J. Elez D
31 W. Anton D
6 M. Bakalorz M
8 Walace M
35 F. Muslija M
40 L. Maina M
17 B. Wood F
24 N. Füllkrug F
Bench (7)
27 P. Schwegler
10 G. Haraguchi
26 H. Weydandt
1 P. Tschauner
11 T. Asano
25 O. Sorg
28 K. Wimmer

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Hertha

4-2-3-1
22 R. Jarstein G
21 M. Plattenhardt D
25 J. Torunarigha D
8 S. Kalou M
28 F. Lustenberger M
11 M. Leckie M
20 V. Lazaro M
15 M. Grujić M
23 A. Maier M
19 V. Ibišević F
27 D. Selke F
Bench (7)
17 M. Mittelstädt
14 P. Köpke
24 P. Dárdai
1 T. Kraft
3 P. Skjelbred
10 O. Duda
31 D. Luckassen

Coach: P. Dárdai

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Felix Brych · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.