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Bundesliga
Referee: Knut Kircher
Schalke 04
T S S S S
0–3
Full-time
FC Koln
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 FC Koln
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 57%
71%
43%
Points per game
2,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
43%
43%
Both score Ø 50%
29%
71%
Average goals
2,1
3,1
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

66% Possession 34%
16 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
3 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 3. · FC Koln 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 7 7 0 0 +20 21
2 Dortmund 7 5 2 0 +15 17
3 Schalke 04 7 5 1 1 +5 16
4 Hertha 8 4 2 2 +3 14
5 FC Ingolstadt 04 8 4 2 2 +0 14
6 Mainz 8 4 0 4 +1 12
7 Wolfsburg 8 3 3 2 +0 12
8 Leverkusen 7 4 0 3 -1 12
9 FC Koln 7 3 2 2 -2 11
10 Darmstadt 8 2 4 2 -2 10
11 Hamburg 8 3 1 4 -5 10
12 Ein Frankfurt 8 2 3 3 +2 9
13 M'gladbach 8 3 0 5 -4 9
14 Werder Bremen 8 2 1 5 -6 7
15 Hoffenheim 8 1 3 4 -4 6
16 Hannover 8 1 2 5 -9 5
17 Augsburg 7 1 1 5 -5 4
18 Stuttgart 8 1 1 6 -8 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 FC Koln
45′
A. Modeste 0–1
L. Bittencourt
Half-time 0–1
50′
🟨 Leonardo Bittencourt
58′
🔁 K. Vogt
↦ L. Bittencourt
E. Choupo-Moting 🔁
↦ L. Goretzka
66′
69′
🟨 Marcel Risse
70′
🔁 D. Maroh
↦ Y. Ōsako
P. Højbjerg 🔁
↦ R. Neustädter
78′
Johannes Geis 🟨
79′
79′
Y. Gerhardt 0–2
83′
🔁 S. Zoller
↦ M. Risse
84′
S. Zoller 0–3
K. Vogt
B. Höwedes 🔁
↦ L. Sané
87′
Max Meyer 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Schalke 04

1 R. Fährmann G
3 Júnior Caiçara D
32 J. Matip D
15 D. Aogo M
33 R. Neustädter D
5 J. Geis D
8 L. Goretzka M
7 M. Meyer M
19 L. Sané F
25 K. Huntelaar F
9 F. Di Santo F
Bench (7)
13 E. Choupo-Moting
23 P. Højbjerg
4 B. Höwedes
6 S. Kolašinac
24 K. Ayhan
27 S. Riether
30 M. Gspurning

FC Koln

1 T. Horn G
16 P. Olkowski D
14 J. Hector M
4 F. Sørensen D
3 D. Heintz D
33 M. Lehmann M
7 M. Risse M
21 L. Bittencourt M
31 Y. Gerhardt M
27 A. Modeste F
13 Y. Ōsako F
Bench (7)
6 K. Vogt
5 D. Maroh
11 S. Zoller
15 P. Hosiner
18 T. Kessler
25 K. Nagasawa
26 B. Finne

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Knut Kircher · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
2,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.