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Bundesliga
Referee: Deniz Aytekin
Ein Frankfurt
T T S U U
1–3
Full-time
Leverkusen
U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 34%
25%
42%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
42%
58%
Both score Ø 50%
58%
42%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

41% Possession 59%
9 Shots 17
1 Shots on target 11
4 Blocked shots 2
8 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 8
3 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 12. · Leverkusen 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 12 11 1 0 +33 34
2 Dortmund 13 9 2 2 +18 29
3 Wolfsburg 12 6 3 3 +2 21
4 Hertha 12 6 2 4 +2 20
5 Schalke 04 12 6 2 4 +0 20
6 M'gladbach 12 6 1 5 +5 19
7 FC Koln 12 5 3 4 -3 18
8 Hamburg 13 5 3 5 -3 18
9 Leverkusen 12 5 2 5 -2 17
10 Mainz 12 5 1 6 -1 16
11 FC Ingolstadt 04 12 4 4 4 -2 16
12 Ein Frankfurt 12 3 5 4 -1 14
13 Darmstadt 12 3 5 4 -3 14
14 Werder Bremen 12 4 1 7 -6 13
15 Hannover 12 3 2 7 -10 11
16 Stuttgart 12 3 1 8 -10 10
17 Hoffenheim 12 1 5 6 -7 8
18 Augsburg 12 1 3 8 -12 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ein Frankfurt Leverkusen
T. Chandler 🔁
↦ L. Castaignos
22′
23′
J. Hernández 0–1
39′
J. Hernández 0–2
H. Çalhanoğlu
1–2 S. Medojević
M. Stendera
45′
Half-time 1–2
62′
🔁 S. Kießling
↦ J. Hernández
J. Gerezgiher 🔁
↦ A. Ignjovski
65′
Bastian Oczipka 🟨
66′
Joel Gerezgiher 🟨
69′
72′
H. Çalhanoğlu 1–3
K. Kampl
77′
🟨 Admir Mehmedi
L. Waldschmidt 🔁
↦ M. Hasebe
77′
80′
🔁 V. Yurchenko
↦ H. Çalhanoğlu
89′
🔁 André Ramalho
↦ K. Bellarabi
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Ein Frankfurt

1 L. Hradecky G
19 D. Abraham D
5 C. Zambrano D
6 B. Oczipka M
14 A. Meier F
20 M. Hasebe D
16 S. Aigner M
25 S. Medojević M
27 A. Ignjovski M
21 M. Stendera M
30 L. Castaignos F
Bench (7)
22 T. Chandler
32 J. Gerezgiher
24 L. Waldschmidt
11 M. Gaćinović
13 H. Lindner
15 C. Djakpa
31 D. Kinsombi

Leverkusen

1 B. Leno G
21 Ö. Toprak D
26 G. Donati D
18 Wendell D
4 J. Tah D
38 K. Bellarabi M
44 K. Kampl M
23 C. Kramer M
14 A. Mehmedi M
7 J. Hernández F
10 H. Çalhanoğlu F
Bench (7)
11 S. Kießling
35 V. Yurchenko
2 André Ramalho
17 S. Boenisch
19 J. Brandt
25 D. Kresic
37 M. Frey

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Deniz Aytekin · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.