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Bundesliga

Referee: Knut Kircher

Werder Bremen

T S T S T

1–3

Full-time

Hamburg

U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Hamburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,2

Scored

1,0

Conceded

2,2

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 35%

31%

38%

Points per game

1,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

69%

54%

Both score Ø 46%

54%

38%

Average goals

2,9

2,4

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

1,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

51% Possession 49%

14 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 6

6 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Werder Bremen 14. · Hamburg 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	13	12	1	0	+35	37
2	Dortmund	13	9	2	2	+18	29
3	Wolfsburg	13	7	3	3	+8	24
4	Hertha	13	7	2	4	+3	23
5	M'gladbach	13	7	1	5	+6	22
6	Leverkusen	13	6	2	5	+0	20
7	Schalke 04	13	6	2	5	-2	20
8	FC Koln	14	5	5	4	-3	20
9	FC Ingolstadt 04	13	5	4	4	+0	19
10	Hamburg	13	5	3	5	-3	18
11	Mainz	13	5	2	6	-1	17
12	Darmstadt	14	3	6	5	-5	15
13	Ein Frankfurt	13	3	5	5	-3	14
14	Werder Bremen	13	4	1	8	-12	13
15	Hannover	13	3	2	8	-11	11
16	Stuttgart	13	3	1	9	-14	10
17	Augsburg	13	2	3	8	-8	9
18	Hoffenheim	13	1	5	7	-8	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	7	7	0	0	+25	21
2	Wolfsburg	7	6	1	0	+15	19
3	Dortmund	6	5	1	0	+14	16
4	Hertha	6	4	1	1	+4	13
5	M'gladbach	7	4	1	2	+3	13
6	Schalke 04	7	3	2	2	-1	11
7	Leverkusen	6	3	1	2	+1	10
8	FC Koln	7	2	4	1	+1	10
9	Mainz	7	3	0	4	-1	9
10	Hamburg	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	FC Ingolstadt 04	6	2	1	3	-2	7
12	Darmstadt	8	1	4	3	-4	7
13	Ein Frankfurt	6	1	3	2	-2	6
14	Stuttgart	7	2	0	5	-9	6
15	Augsburg	7	1	1	5	-5	4
16	Hoffenheim	6	0	3	3	-4	3
17	Hannover	6	1	0	5	-7	3
18	Werder Bremen	6	1	0	5	-9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	6	5	1	0	+10	16
2	Dortmund	7	4	1	2	+4	13
3	FC Ingolstadt 04	7	3	3	1	+2	12
4	Hertha	7	3	1	3	-1	10
5	Leverkusen	7	3	1	3	-1	10
6	Werder Bremen	7	3	1	3	-3	10
7	FC Koln	7	3	1	3	-4	10
8	Hamburg	7	3	1	3	-4	10
9	M'gladbach	6	3	0	3	+3	9
10	Schalke 04	6	3	0	3	-1	9
11	Mainz	6	2	2	2	+0	8
12	Ein Frankfurt	7	2	2	3	-1	8
13	Darmstadt	6	2	2	2	-1	8
14	Hannover	7	2	2	3	-4	8
15	Augsburg	6	1	2	3	-3	5
16	Hoffenheim	7	1	2	4	-4	5
17	Wolfsburg	6	1	2	3	-7	5
18	Stuttgart	6	1	1	4	-5	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.