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Bundesliga
Referee: Felix Brych
Dortmund
S S T U U
0–0
Full-time
Schalke 04
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,3
3,0
Scored
3,0
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
63%
50%
Both score Ø 51%
63%
38%
Average goals
3,8
2,6
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%
9 Shots 8
1 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 4
3 Offside 6
14 Free kicks against 21
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dortmund 8. · Schalke 04 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 9 7 2 0 +18 23
2 RB Leipzig 9 6 3 0 +11 21
3 Hertha 8 5 2 1 +5 17
4 Hoffenheim 8 4 4 0 +6 16
5 FC Koln 8 4 3 1 +7 15
6 Ein Frankfurt 9 4 3 2 +5 15
7 Freiburg 9 5 0 4 +0 15
8 Dortmund 8 4 2 2 +10 14
9 Mainz 9 4 2 3 +1 14
10 Leverkusen 9 4 1 4 +0 13
11 M'gladbach 9 3 3 3 -2 12
12 Augsburg 9 2 2 5 -6 8
13 Darmstadt 9 2 2 5 -9 8
14 Schalke 04 8 2 1 5 -1 7
15 Werder Bremen 9 2 1 6 -13 7
16 Wolfsburg 9 1 3 5 -7 6
17 FC Ingolstadt 04 9 0 2 7 -12 2
18 Hamburg 8 0 2 6 -13 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dortmund Schalke 04
Shinji Kagawa 🟨
7′
Julian Weigl 🟨
12′
33′
🟨 Matija Nastasić
35′
🟨 Nabil Bentaleb
Ousmane Dembélé 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–0
63′
🔁 E. Choupo-Moting
↦ F. Di Santo
Sokratis 🟨
64′
Raphaël Guerreiro 🔁
↦ F. Passlack
71′
75′
🔁 Y. Konoplyanka
↦ M. Meyer
76′
🟨 Sead Kolašinac
A. Schürrle 🔁
↦ S. Kagawa
79′
S. Rode 🔁
↦ O. Dembélé
87′
90′
🟨 Leon Goretzka
90′
🔁 B. Stambouli
↦ N. Bentaleb
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Dortmund

4-1-4-1
38 R. Bürki G
26 Ł. Piszczek D
25 S. Papastathopoulos D
28 M. Ginter D
23 S. Kagawa M
10 M. Götze M
33 J. Weigl M
7 O. Dembélé F
30 F. Passlack D
22 C. Pulisic M
17 P. Aubameyang F
Bench (7)
13 Raphaël Guerreiro
21 A. Schürrle
18 S. Rode
1 R. Weidenfeller
5 Bartra
20 A. Ramos
34 J. Larsen

Coach: T. Tuchel

Schalke 04

3-1-4-2
1 R. Fährmann G
29 Naldo D
4 B. Höwedes D
31 M. Nastasić D
6 S. Kolašinac D
5 J. Geis D
8 L. Goretzka M
7 M. Meyer M
10 N. Bentaleb M
21 A. Schöpf M
9 F. Di Santo F
Bench (7)
13 E. Choupo-Moting
11 Y. Konoplyanka
17 B. Stambouli
3 Júnior Caiçara
14 A. Baba
32 B. Tekpetey
34 F. Giefer

Coach: M. Weinzierl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Felix Brych · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.