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Pro League

Referee: Bart Vertenten

Waregem

U S U S S

4–1

Full-time

St Truiden

T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem St Truiden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,8

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

This season — Pro League · 17/26 matches

Win Ø 49%

71%

27%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

41%

58%

Both score Ø 49%

47%

50%

Average goals

2,6

2,7

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Waregem 4. · St Truiden 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mechelen	27	13	5	9	+7	44
2	Club Brugge	18	13	2	3	+27	41
3	Genk	26	12	5	9	+2	41
4	Waregem	17	12	3	2	+16	39
5	Standard	26	10	9	7	+10	39
6	Anderlecht	17	11	4	2	+26	37
7	Oostende	17	11	2	4	+16	35
8	Kortrijk	27	8	6	13	-14	30
9	Charleroi	16	8	5	3	+5	29
10	Lokeren	27	7	8	12	-9	29
11	Gent	16	8	3	5	+7	27
12	Beveren	27	6	9	12	-12	27
13	Eupen	27	7	6	14	-22	27
14	St Truiden	26	7	5	14	-10	26
15	Westerlo	27	5	7	15	-24	22
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	27	5	3	19	-25	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	13	9	2	2	+10	29
2	Mechelen	14	9	1	4	+10	28
3	Club Brugge	9	7	2	0	+17	23
4	Standard	12	7	2	3	+11	23
5	St Truiden	14	6	4	4	+4	22
6	Gent	8	7	0	1	+12	21
7	Oostende	9	6	2	1	+15	20
8	Waregem	8	6	2	0	+9	20
9	Lokeren	13	5	5	3	+2	20
10	Anderlecht	8	6	1	1	+19	19
11	Charleroi	8	6	1	1	+5	19
12	Kortrijk	13	5	3	5	+1	18
13	Beveren	14	4	6	4	+1	18
14	Eupen	14	4	5	5	-6	17
15	Westerlo	13	3	3	7	-5	12
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	14	3	2	9	-12	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	9	6	1	2	+7	19
2	Club Brugge	9	6	0	3	+10	18
3	Anderlecht	9	5	3	1	+7	18
4	Standard	14	3	7	4	-1	16
5	Mechelen	13	4	4	5	-3	16
6	Oostende	8	5	0	3	+1	15
7	Genk	13	3	3	7	-8	12
8	Kortrijk	14	3	3	8	-15	12
9	Charleroi	8	2	4	2	+0	10
10	Eupen	13	3	1	9	-16	10
11	Westerlo	14	2	4	8	-19	10
12	Lokeren	14	2	3	9	-11	9
13	Beveren	13	2	3	8	-13	9
14	Royal Excel Mouscron	13	2	1	10	-13	7
15	Gent	8	1	3	4	-5	6
16	St Truiden	12	1	1	10	-14	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.