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La Liga
Referee: Carlos Del Cerro Grande
Las Palmas
T U U T
2–0
Full-time
Sevilla
U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
12 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
4 Offside 7
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Las Palmas 18. · Sevilla 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 5 4 1 0 +13 13
2 Celta 5 4 1 0 +8 13
3 Ath Madrid 5 4 0 1 +7 12
4 Barcelona 5 4 0 1 +3 12
5 Villarreal 4 3 1 0 +6 10
6 Espanol 5 3 0 2 -5 9
7 Eibar 5 2 2 1 +2 8
8 Vallecano 5 2 1 2 -3 7
9 Valencia 5 1 3 1 +0 6
10 La Coruna 4 1 2 1 +1 5
11 Sociedad 5 1 2 2 +1 5
12 Sp Gijon 5 1 2 2 -1 5
13 Betis 4 1 2 1 -4 5
14 Ath Bilbao 5 1 0 4 -4 3
15 Levante 5 0 3 2 -4 3
16 Getafe 5 1 0 4 -5 3
17 Granada 5 1 0 4 -7 3
18 Las Palmas 4 0 2 2 -2 2
19 Malaga 4 0 2 2 -2 2
20 Sevilla 4 0 2 2 -4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Las Palmas Sevilla
Mubarak Wakaso 🟨
9′
19′
🟨 Fernando Llorente
1–0 Roque Mesa
S. Araújo
30′
Aythami Artiles 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
51′
🟨 Vicente Iborra
55′
🔁 K. Gameiro
↦ C. Immobile
Pedro Bigas 🟨
57′
59′
🔁 José Antonio Reyes
↦ S. Cristóforo
66′
🔁 Vitolo
↦ Llorente
67′
🟨 Michael Krohn-Dehli
N. El Zhar 🔁
↦ Roque Mesa
74′
2–0 A. Alcáraz
S. Araújo
76′
E. Culio 🔁
↦ Jonathan Viera
78′
Vicente Gómez 🔁
↦ S. Araújo
82′
90′
🟨 José Antonio Reyes
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Las Palmas

13 Javi Varas
3 A. Alcáraz D
16 Aythami Artiles
23 Dani Castellano D
17 Pedro Bigas D
2 David Simón D
12 W. Mubarak M
14 Hernán M
15 Roque Mesa M
10 S. Araújo M
20 Jonathan Viera M
Bench (7)
25 N. El Zhar
19 E. Culio
4 Vicente Gómez
1 Raúl Lizoáin
5 David García
8 Willian José
21 Valerón

Sevilla

1 Sergio Rico G
2 B. Trémoulinas D
23 Coke D
17 M. Andreolli D
5 T. Kolodziejczak D
7 M. Krohn-Dehli M
8 Iborra M
4 G. Krychowiak M
14 S. Cristóforo M
24 Llorente F
11 C. Immobile F
Bench (7)
9 K. Gameiro
10 José Antonio Reyes
20 Vitolo
15 S. N'Zonzi
16 Luismi Sánchez
31 David Soria
30 Juan Muñoz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Carlos Del Cerro Grande · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.