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La Liga
Referee: Santiago Jaime Latre
Sevilla
U T U
1–2
Full-time
Celta
S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
4,0
Scored
0,3
2,7
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,3
This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
4,0
Scored
0,3
2,7
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

44% Possession 56%
13 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 5
0 Offside 4
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sevilla 19. · Celta 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 4 3 1 0 +12 10
2 Ath Madrid 4 3 0 1 +5 9
3 Barcelona 3 3 0 0 +3 9
4 Celta 3 2 1 0 +4 7
5 Villarreal 3 2 1 0 +4 7
6 Eibar 4 2 1 1 +2 7
7 Valencia 4 1 3 0 +1 6
8 Espanol 4 2 0 2 -6 6
9 La Coruna 3 1 2 0 +2 5
10 Betis 4 1 2 1 -4 5
11 Ath Bilbao 3 1 0 2 -1 3
12 Getafe 4 1 0 3 -3 3
13 Granada 4 1 0 3 -4 3
14 Las Palmas 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Levante 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Sp Gijon 3 0 2 1 -1 2
17 Sociedad 4 0 2 2 -2 2
18 Malaga 4 0 2 2 -2 2
19 Sevilla 3 0 2 1 -3 2
20 Vallecano 3 0 1 2 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sevilla Celta
6′
🟨 Sergi Gómez
15′
⚽ Nolito 0–1
F. Orellana
26′
⚽ D. Wass 0–2
Hugo Mallo
M. Krohn-Dehli 🔁
↦ Vitolo
30′
Éver Banega 🟨
40′
45′
🟨 Jonny Castro
Half-time 0–2
Llorente 🔁
↦ É. Banega
46′
Grzegorz Krychowiak 🟨
51′
1–2 Llorente ⚽
Mariano
54′
58′
🟨 Iago Aspas
58′
🔁 Fontàs
↦ G. Cabral
63′
🔁 N. Radoja
↦ P. Hernández
José Antonio Reyes 🟨
65′
72′
🟨 Hugo Mallo
Y. Konoplyanka 🔁
↦ José Antonio Reyes
73′
79′
🔁 J. Guidetti
↦ Iago Aspas
87′
🟨 Augusto Fernández
87′
🟨 Fabián Orellana
90′
🟨 Jonny Castro
90′
🟥 Jonny Castro
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sevilla

1 Sergio Rico G
25 Mariano D
23 Coke D
17 M. Andreolli D
5 T. Kolodziejczak D
10 José Antonio Reyes M
19 É. Banega M
15 S. N'Zonzi M
4 G. Krychowiak M
20 Vitolo M
9 K. Gameiro F
Bench (7)
7 M. Krohn-Dehli
24 Llorente
22 Y. Konoplyanka
8 Iborra
11 C. Immobile
16 Luismi Sánchez
33 David Soria

Celta

1 Sergio Álvarez G
22 G. Cabral D
2 Hugo Mallo D
20 Sergi Gómez D
19 Jonny Castro D
24 A. Fernández M
14 F. Orellana M
18 D. Wass M
8 P. Hernández M
9 Iago Aspas F
10 Nolito F
Bench (7)
3 Fontàs
6 N. Radoja
11 J. Guidetti
7 T. Bongonda
17 L. Madinda
21 Planas
26 Néstor Díaz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Santiago Jaime Latre · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.