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Serie A
Referee: Luca J Pairetto
Palermo
S S U T
0–1
Full-time
Sassuolo
S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Sassuolo
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
This season — Serie A · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
9 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 6
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Palermo 9. · Sassuolo 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 4 4 0 0 +4 12
2 Torino 4 3 1 0 +5 10
3 Fiorentina 4 3 0 1 +2 9
4 Milan 5 3 0 2 +0 9
5 Roma 4 2 2 0 +3 8
6 Sassuolo 4 2 2 0 +2 8
7 Chievo 4 2 1 1 +5 7
8 Sampdoria 4 2 1 1 +3 7
9 Palermo 4 2 1 1 +1 7
10 Lazio 4 2 0 2 -6 6
11 Napoli 4 1 2 1 +4 5
12 Atalanta 4 1 2 1 +1 5
13 Juventus 4 1 1 2 +0 4
14 Empoli 4 1 1 2 -2 4
15 Verona 4 0 3 1 -2 3
16 Genoa 4 1 0 3 -2 3
17 Bologna 4 1 0 3 -3 3
18 Udinese 5 1 0 4 -4 3
19 Carpi 4 0 1 3 -5 1
20 Frosinone 4 0 0 4 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Palermo Sassuolo
31′
🟨 Simone Missiroli
35′
S. Floccari 0–1
F. Magnanelli
Luca Rigoni 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–1
A. Trajkovski 🔁
↦ O. Hiljemark
46′
E. Maresca 🔁
↦ M. Jajalo
56′
61′
🟨 Šime Vrsaljko
65′
🔁 D. Berardi
↦ M. Politano
68′
🟨 Francesco Acerbi
R. Quaison 🔁
↦ A. Rispoli
69′
72′
🟨 Paolo Cannavaro
73′
🔁 G. Defrel
↦ S. Floccari
77′
🟨 Davide Biondini
78′
🔁 A. Duncan
↦ D. Biondini
83′
🟨 Francesco Magnanelli
Luca Rigoni 🟨
85′
Luca Rigoni 🟥
85′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Palermo

91 S. Colombi G
3 A. Rispoli M
12 G. González D
34 A. El Kaoutari D
23 Aljaž Struna D
7 A. Lazaar D
27 L. Rigoni M
28 M. Jajalo M
20 F. Vázquez M
10 O. Hiljemark M
11 A. Gilardino F
Bench (12)
8 A. Trajkovski
25 E. Maresca
21 R. Quaison
2 R. Vitiello
4 S. Anđelković
6 E. Goldaniga
9 Matheus Cassini
16 G. Brugman
18 I. Chochev
33 F. Daprelà
53 F. Alastra
54 A. La Gumina

Sassuolo

47 A. Consigli G
28 P. Cannavaro D
23 M. Gazzola D
11 Š. Vrsaljko D
15 F. Acerbi D
8 D. Biondini M
7 S. Missiroli M
4 F. Magnanelli M
16 M. Politano F
99 S. Floccari F
17 N. Sansone F
Bench (11)
25 D. Berardi
92 G. Defrel
32 A. Duncan
1 A. Pomini
6 L. Pellegrini
9 D. Falcinelli
10 K. Laribi
20 L. Ariaudo
26 E. Terranova
79 G. Pegolo
83 A. Floro Flores

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Luca J Pairetto · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.