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La Liga

Referee: Alberto Undiano

Real Madrid

T S S U S

5–1

Full-time

Sp Gijon

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Sp Gijon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

5,2

2,7

Scored

4,0

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+2,8

-1,0

This season — La Liga · 19/18 matches

Win Ø 43%

63%

22%

Points per game

2,1

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

68%

56%

Both score Ø 46%

47%

44%

Average goals

3,7

2,5

Scored

2,7

0,9

Conceded

0,9

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 5–0

67% Possession 33%

17 Shots 9

9 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 4

5 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 3. · Sp Gijon 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	19	14	2	3	+19	44
2	Barcelona	18	13	3	2	+29	42
3	Real Madrid	19	12	4	3	+34	40
4	Villarreal	20	12	4	4	+10	40
5	Celta	20	10	4	6	+2	34
6	Sevilla	20	9	5	6	+6	32
7	Eibar	19	8	6	5	+7	30
8	Ath Bilbao	19	8	4	7	+5	28
9	La Coruna	20	6	10	4	+3	28
10	Valencia	20	5	9	6	+4	24
11	Malaga	20	6	6	8	-2	24
12	Getafe	19	6	5	8	-6	23
13	Sociedad	20	5	6	9	-5	21
14	Espanol	19	6	3	10	-13	21
15	Betis	20	5	6	9	-15	21
16	Las Palmas	19	4	6	9	-8	18
17	Granada	19	4	5	10	-16	17
18	Vallecano	20	4	4	12	-22	16
19	Sp Gijon	18	4	3	11	-13	15
20	Levante	20	3	5	12	-19	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	10	9	1	0	+25	28
2	Sevilla	11	9	0	2	+12	27
3	Villarreal	11	8	2	1	+10	26
4	Real Madrid	10	8	1	1	+25	25
5	Ath Madrid	9	7	1	1	+7	22
6	Getafe	10	5	3	2	+8	18
7	Eibar	10	5	3	2	+4	18
8	Ath Bilbao	9	5	2	2	+8	17
9	Celta	11	5	2	4	+0	17
10	Valencia	10	3	7	0	+7	16
11	Malaga	9	4	3	2	+5	15
12	Las Palmas	10	4	3	3	+3	15
13	Espanol	9	4	3	2	-2	15
14	La Coruna	9	3	4	2	+5	13
15	Sociedad	10	3	3	4	-1	12
16	Vallecano	10	3	2	5	-5	11
17	Levante	10	2	3	5	-6	9
18	Sp Gijon	8	2	2	4	-3	8
19	Granada	9	2	2	5	-8	8
20	Betis	9	1	3	5	-9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	10	7	1	2	+12	22
2	Celta	9	5	2	2	+2	17
3	Real Madrid	9	4	3	2	+9	15
4	La Coruna	11	3	6	2	-2	15
5	Betis	11	4	3	4	-6	15
6	Barcelona	8	4	2	2	+4	14
7	Villarreal	9	4	2	3	+0	14
8	Eibar	9	3	3	3	+3	12
9	Ath Bilbao	10	3	2	5	-3	11
10	Sociedad	10	2	3	5	-4	9
11	Malaga	11	2	3	6	-7	9
12	Granada	10	2	3	5	-8	9
13	Valencia	10	2	2	6	-3	8
14	Sp Gijon	10	2	1	7	-10	7
15	Espanol	10	2	0	8	-11	6
16	Sevilla	9	0	5	4	-6	5
17	Levante	10	1	2	7	-13	5
18	Getafe	9	1	2	6	-14	5
19	Vallecano	10	1	2	7	-17	5
20	Las Palmas	9	0	3	6	-11	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.