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La Liga

Referee: Carlos Clos Gomez

Malaga

S S S U T

1–2

Full-time

Barcelona

U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,0

3,3

Scored

1,3

2,8

Conceded

0,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+2,3

This season — La Liga · 20/19 matches

Win Ø 52%

30%

74%

Points per game

1,2

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

25%

74%

Both score Ø 36%

25%

47%

Average goals

1,6

3,4

Scored

0,8

2,6

Conceded

0,9

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

34% Possession 66%

15 Shots 12

9 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 8

4 Corners 3

1 Offside 4

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Malaga 12. · Barcelona 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	20	15	2	3	+22	47
2	Barcelona	19	14	3	2	+35	45
3	Real Madrid	20	13	4	3	+38	43
4	Villarreal	20	12	4	4	+10	40
5	Celta	20	10	4	6	+2	34
6	Eibar	20	9	6	5	+11	33
7	Sevilla	20	9	5	6	+6	32
8	La Coruna	20	6	10	4	+3	28
9	Ath Bilbao	20	8	4	8	-1	28
10	Getafe	20	7	5	8	-4	26
11	Valencia	20	5	9	6	+4	24
12	Malaga	20	6	6	8	-2	24
13	Sociedad	21	5	6	10	-9	21
14	Espanol	20	6	3	11	-15	21
15	Betis	20	5	6	9	-15	21
16	Las Palmas	20	4	6	10	-11	18
17	Sp Gijon	20	5	3	12	-13	18
18	Granada	20	4	5	11	-20	17
19	Vallecano	20	4	4	12	-22	16
20	Levante	20	3	5	12	-19	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	11	10	1	0	+31	31
2	Real Madrid	11	9	1	1	+29	28
3	Sevilla	11	9	0	2	+12	27
4	Villarreal	11	8	2	1	+10	26
5	Ath Madrid	9	7	1	1	+7	22
6	Getafe	11	6	3	2	+10	21
7	Eibar	11	6	3	2	+8	21
8	Ath Bilbao	9	5	2	2	+8	17
9	Celta	11	5	2	4	+0	17
10	Valencia	10	3	7	0	+7	16
11	Malaga	9	4	3	2	+5	15
12	Las Palmas	11	4	3	4	+0	15
13	Espanol	9	4	3	2	-2	15
14	La Coruna	9	3	4	2	+5	13
15	Sociedad	10	3	3	4	-1	12
16	Sp Gijon	9	3	2	4	+1	11
17	Vallecano	10	3	2	5	-5	11
18	Levante	10	2	3	5	-6	9
19	Granada	9	2	2	5	-8	8
20	Betis	9	1	3	5	-9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	11	8	1	2	+15	25
2	Celta	9	5	2	2	+2	17
3	Real Madrid	9	4	3	2	+9	15
4	La Coruna	11	3	6	2	-2	15
5	Betis	11	4	3	4	-6	15
6	Barcelona	8	4	2	2	+4	14
7	Villarreal	9	4	2	3	+0	14
8	Eibar	9	3	3	3	+3	12
9	Ath Bilbao	11	3	2	6	-9	11
10	Malaga	11	2	3	6	-7	9
11	Sociedad	11	2	3	6	-8	9
12	Granada	11	2	3	6	-12	9
13	Valencia	10	2	2	6	-3	8
14	Sp Gijon	11	2	1	8	-14	7
15	Espanol	11	2	0	9	-13	6
16	Sevilla	9	0	5	4	-6	5
17	Levante	10	1	2	7	-13	5
18	Getafe	9	1	2	6	-14	5
19	Vallecano	10	1	2	7	-17	5
20	Las Palmas	9	0	3	6	-11	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.