Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Arsenal
West Ham
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Everton
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 2 |
Crystal Palace
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 3 |
Arsenal
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 4 |
Leicester
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 5 |
Chelsea
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 6 |
Newcastle
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 7 |
Wolves
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 |
Liverpool
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Leeds
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 10 |
Southampton
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 |
Tottenham
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 |
Brighton
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 13 |
Man United
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 |
West Ham
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 |
Sheffield United
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 |
Fulham
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 |
West Brom
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
B. Leno
G
S. Kolašinac
D
Bellerín
M
Gabriel Magalhães
D
G. Xhaka
M
Dani Ceballos
M
B. Saka
M
P. Aubameyang
F
Coach: Mikel Arteta
A. Masuaku
D
I. Diop
D
M. Antonio
F
D. Rice
M
Pablo Fornals
M
J. Bowen
M
Coach: D. Moyes
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Fulham
Arsenal
Arsenal
Watford
Aston Villa
Arsenal
Arsenal
Liverpool
Tottenham
Arsenal
M Oliver · 207 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.