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Premier League
Referee: M Oliver
Arsenal
T S T S S
2–1
Full-time
West Ham
S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arsenal West Ham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
3,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+3,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

62% Possession 38%
7 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 5
5 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Arsenal 3. · West Ham 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Everton 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Crystal Palace 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Arsenal 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Leicester 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Chelsea 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Newcastle 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Wolves 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Liverpool 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Leeds 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Southampton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
11 Tottenham 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Brighton 1 0 0 1 -2 0
13 Man United 1 0 0 1 -2 0
14 West Ham 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Sheffield United 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Fulham 2 0 0 2 -4 0
17 West Brom 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Arsenal West Ham
1–0 A. Lacazette
P. Aubameyang
25′
Alexandre Lacazette ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
26′
40′
🟨 Ryan Fredericks
45′
M. Antonio 1–1
R. Fredericks
Half-time 1–1
N. Pépé 🔁
↦ Willian
64′
E. Nketiah 🔁
↦ A. Lacazette
77′
83′
🔁 A. Yarmolenko
↦ J. Bowen
2–1 E. Nketiah
Dani Ceballos
85′
88′
🔁 S. Haller
↦ Pablo Fornals
David Luiz 🔁
↦ B. Saka
89′
90′
🔁 Felipe Anderson
↦ A. Masuaku
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Arsenal

3-4-3
1 B. Leno G
31 S. Kolašinac D
2 Bellerín M
16 R. Holding D
6 Gabriel Magalhães D
34 G. Xhaka M
8 Dani Ceballos M
7 B. Saka M
12 Willian F
14 P. Aubameyang F
9 A. Lacazette F
Bench (7)
19 N. Pépé
30 E. Nketiah
23 David Luiz
25 Mohamed Elneny
33 M. Macey
15 A. Maitland-Niles
28 J. Willock

Coach: Mikel Arteta

West Ham

5-4-1
1 Ł. Fabiański G
21 A. Ogbonna D
3 A. Cresswell D
26 A. Masuaku D
24 R. Fredericks D
23 I. Diop D
30 M. Antonio F
28 T. Souček M
41 D. Rice M
18 Pablo Fornals M
20 J. Bowen M
Bench (7)
7 A. Yarmolenko
22 S. Haller
8 Felipe Anderson
35 D. Randolph
10 M. Lanzini
4 F. Balbuena
31 B. Johnson

Coach: D. Moyes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,53
U
4,51
B
5,91
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,64
U2,5
2,30
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Oliver · 207 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.