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La Liga

Referee: Carlos Velasco Carballo

Sevilla

S U T S U

4–2

Full-time

Villarreal

S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

2,3

0,8

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

1,0

0,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,5

This season — La Liga · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 49%

43%

54%

Points per game

1,6

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

43%

36%

Both score Ø 45%

54%

36%

Average goals

2,4

1,9

Scored

1,4

1,2

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

55% Possession 45%

14 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 8

6 Offside 5

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sevilla 5. · Villarreal 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	29	24	3	2	+62	75
2	Ath Madrid	29	21	4	4	+33	67
3	Real Madrid	28	18	6	4	+54	60
4	Villarreal	28	15	8	5	+14	53
5	Sevilla	28	12	9	7	+10	45
6	Celta	29	13	6	10	-10	45
7	Ath Bilbao	28	13	5	10	+8	44
8	Eibar	29	10	7	12	+0	37
9	Malaga	29	9	9	11	+0	36
10	Sociedad	29	9	8	12	-3	35
11	Valencia	29	8	10	11	-1	34
12	Betis	28	8	10	10	-10	34
13	La Coruna	29	6	15	8	-5	33
14	Espanol	28	9	4	15	-26	31
15	Las Palmas	28	8	6	14	-10	30
16	Vallecano	29	6	9	14	-22	27
17	Getafe	29	7	6	16	-24	27
18	Granada	28	7	5	16	-24	26
19	Sp Gijon	29	6	6	17	-21	24
20	Levante	29	6	6	17	-25	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	15	14	1	0	+44	43
2	Real Madrid	15	12	1	2	+42	37
3	Sevilla	14	12	0	2	+17	36
4	Villarreal	15	11	2	2	+14	35
5	Ath Madrid	14	10	3	1	+15	33
6	Celta	15	7	4	4	+2	25
7	Ath Bilbao	13	7	3	3	+13	24
8	Eibar	15	7	3	5	+4	24
9	Getafe	15	6	4	5	+7	22
10	Malaga	14	6	4	4	+7	22
11	Espanol	14	6	4	4	-8	22
12	Las Palmas	14	6	3	5	+4	21
13	Sociedad	14	5	5	4	+3	20
14	Valencia	14	4	7	3	+2	19
15	Vallecano	15	5	4	6	-4	19
16	Levante	15	5	3	7	-5	18
17	La Coruna	14	3	8	3	+4	17
18	Betis	14	3	6	5	-6	15
19	Granada	13	4	2	7	-7	14
20	Sp Gijon	14	3	4	7	-5	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	15	11	1	3	+18	34
2	Barcelona	14	10	2	2	+18	32
3	Real Madrid	13	6	5	2	+12	23
4	Ath Bilbao	15	6	2	7	-5	20
5	Celta	14	6	2	6	-12	20
6	Betis	14	5	4	5	-4	19
7	Villarreal	13	4	6	3	+0	18
8	La Coruna	15	3	7	5	-9	16
9	Valencia	15	4	3	8	-3	15
10	Sociedad	15	4	3	8	-6	15
11	Malaga	15	3	5	7	-7	14
12	Eibar	14	3	4	7	-4	13
13	Granada	15	3	3	9	-17	12
14	Sp Gijon	15	3	2	10	-16	11
15	Sevilla	14	0	9	5	-7	9
16	Las Palmas	14	2	3	9	-14	9
17	Espanol	14	3	0	11	-18	9
18	Vallecano	14	1	5	8	-18	8
19	Levante	14	1	3	10	-20	6
20	Getafe	14	1	2	11	-31	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.