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Ligue 1

Referee: Francois Letexier

Troyes

T S T T T

0–9

Full-time

Paris SG

S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Paris SG

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

2,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,8

This season — Ligue 1 · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 43%

79%

Points per game

0,5

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

48%

59%

Both score Ø 47%

48%

45%

Average goals

2,8

2,9

Scored

0,7

2,3

Conceded

2,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

36% Possession 64%

16 Shots 22

3 Shots on target 15

4 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 8

1 Offside 4

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 0

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Troyes 20. · Paris SG 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	29	23	5	1	+53	74
2	Monaco	30	13	13	4	+10	52
3	Nice	30	13	8	9	+10	47
4	Lyon	29	13	6	10	+14	45
5	Rennes	29	11	11	7	+6	44
6	Caen	30	13	4	13	-7	43
7	St Etienne	30	12	6	12	-1	42
8	Nantes	29	10	11	8	-1	41
9	Lille	30	9	13	8	+1	40
10	Marseille	30	8	15	7	+9	39
11	Angers	29	10	9	10	+0	39
12	Lorient	30	9	12	9	-1	39
13	Bastia	30	11	6	13	-3	39
14	Bordeaux	30	9	11	10	-10	38
15	Montpellier	30	10	6	14	+1	36
16	Guingamp	30	9	8	13	-9	35
17	Reims	30	8	9	13	-9	33
18	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	30	7	12	11	-9	33
19	Toulouse	30	5	11	14	-16	26
20	Troyes	29	2	8	19	-38	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	14	11	3	0	+32	36
2	Lyon	15	9	3	3	+18	30
3	Bastia	16	9	2	5	+8	29
4	Monaco	15	7	6	2	+8	27
5	Nice	15	8	2	5	+6	26
6	Bordeaux	15	7	5	3	+6	26
7	Lille	15	7	4	4	+6	25
8	Lorient	15	6	6	3	+7	24
9	St Etienne	14	7	3	4	+5	24
10	Guingamp	15	6	5	4	+6	23
11	Nantes	14	6	5	3	+3	23
12	Caen	15	7	2	6	-5	23
13	Angers	15	5	7	3	+3	22
14	Montpellier	16	7	0	9	+0	21
15	Reims	15	5	5	5	+3	20
16	Rennes	14	5	5	4	+2	20
17	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	15	4	7	4	-2	19
18	Toulouse	15	3	7	5	+2	16
19	Marseille	15	2	9	4	+5	15
20	Troyes	14	0	6	8	-12	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	15	12	2	1	+21	38
2	Monaco	15	6	7	2	+2	25
3	Rennes	15	6	6	3	+4	24
4	Marseille	15	6	6	3	+4	24
5	Nice	15	5	6	4	+4	21
6	Caen	15	6	2	7	-2	20
7	Nantes	15	4	6	5	-4	18
8	St Etienne	16	5	3	8	-6	18
9	Angers	14	5	2	7	-3	17
10	Montpellier	14	3	6	5	+1	15
11	Lyon	14	4	3	7	-4	15
12	Lille	15	2	9	4	-5	15
13	Lorient	15	3	6	6	-8	15
14	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	15	3	5	7	-7	14
15	Reims	15	3	4	8	-12	13
16	Guingamp	15	3	3	9	-15	12
17	Bordeaux	15	2	6	7	-16	12
18	Bastia	14	2	4	8	-11	10
19	Toulouse	15	2	4	9	-18	10
20	Troyes	15	2	2	11	-26	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.