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Bundesliga

Referee: Christian Dingert

Leverkusen

S T T T U

1–0

Full-time

Hamburg

S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Hamburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 36%

40%

32%

Points per game

1,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

60%

52%

Both score Ø 54%

52%

56%

Average goals

2,8

2,6

Scored

1,4

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%

14 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 7

3 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

6 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leverkusen 8. · Hamburg 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	26	21	3	2	+51	66
2	Dortmund	25	18	4	3	+34	58
3	Hertha	26	13	6	7	+9	45
4	M'gladbach	26	13	3	10	+11	42
5	Schalke 04	26	12	5	9	+3	41
6	Mainz	25	12	4	9	+4	40
7	Wolfsburg	26	10	7	9	+5	37
8	Leverkusen	25	10	6	9	+3	36
9	FC Koln	26	8	9	9	-5	33
10	FC Ingolstadt 04	26	8	9	9	-7	33
11	Stuttgart	26	9	5	12	-9	32
12	Hamburg	25	8	7	10	-4	31
13	Augsburg	26	6	9	11	-8	27
14	Darmstadt	26	6	9	11	-13	27
15	Werder Bremen	26	7	6	13	-18	27
16	Ein Frankfurt	26	5	9	12	-15	24
17	Hoffenheim	26	5	9	12	-15	24
18	Hannover	26	5	2	19	-26	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	13	12	0	1	+37	36
2	Dortmund	12	10	2	0	+25	32
3	M'gladbach	14	10	1	3	+16	31
4	Hertha	13	8	4	1	+11	28
5	Wolfsburg	13	8	3	2	+15	27
6	Schalke 04	13	7	3	3	+4	24
7	Mainz	13	7	2	4	+4	23
8	FC Ingolstadt 04	13	5	4	4	+1	19
9	Stuttgart	13	6	1	6	-1	19
10	Leverkusen	12	5	3	4	+5	18
11	Hoffenheim	13	4	5	4	-2	17
12	Hamburg	13	4	4	5	+0	16
13	FC Koln	13	4	4	5	-2	16
14	Ein Frankfurt	13	3	6	4	-3	15
15	Augsburg	13	2	5	6	-6	11
16	Werder Bremen	12	2	4	6	-8	10
17	Darmstadt	13	1	5	7	-13	8
18	Hannover	13	2	0	11	-13	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	13	9	3	1	+14	30
2	Dortmund	13	8	2	3	+9	26
3	Darmstadt	13	5	4	4	+0	19
4	Leverkusen	13	5	3	5	-2	18
5	Mainz	12	5	2	5	+0	17
6	Schalke 04	13	5	2	6	-1	17
7	Hertha	13	5	2	6	-2	17
8	FC Koln	13	4	5	4	-3	17
9	Werder Bremen	14	5	2	7	-10	17
10	Augsburg	13	4	4	5	-2	16
11	Hamburg	12	4	3	5	-4	15
12	FC Ingolstadt 04	13	3	5	5	-8	14
13	Stuttgart	13	3	4	6	-8	13
14	M'gladbach	12	3	2	7	-5	11
15	Hannover	13	3	2	8	-13	11
16	Wolfsburg	13	2	4	7	-10	10
17	Ein Frankfurt	13	2	3	8	-12	9
18	Hoffenheim	13	1	4	8	-13	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.