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Eredivisie

Referee: Pol van Boekel

Ajax

S S S S S

2–2

Full-time

Nijmegen

U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Nijmegen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,7

2,2

Scored

2,8

0,5

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 60%

77%

42%

Points per game

2,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

62%

35%

Both score Ø 39%

42%

35%

Average goals

3,1

2,2

Scored

2,5

1,1

Conceded

0,6

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

64% Possession 36%

21 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

11 Corners 3

0 Free kicks against 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 2. · Nijmegen 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	27	20	6	1	+43	66
2	Ajax	26	20	4	2	+48	64
3	Feyenoord	27	14	4	9	+14	46
4	AZ Alkmaar	27	14	4	9	+11	46
5	Vitesse	27	11	7	9	+19	40
6	Nijmegen	26	11	6	9	+0	39
7	Zwolle	25	11	5	9	+6	38
8	Heracles	25	11	5	9	-3	38
9	Den Haag	27	8	10	9	-2	34
10	Groningen	26	9	7	10	-9	34
11	Twente	27	10	4	13	-13	34
12	Heerenveen	27	9	7	11	-14	34
13	Utrecht	24	9	6	9	+4	33
14	Roda	27	6	10	11	-15	28
15	Willem II	27	5	10	12	-10	25
16	Excelsior	27	6	7	14	-20	25
17	De Graafschap	27	4	5	18	-22	17
18	Cambuur	27	3	7	17	-37	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	13	11	1	1	+30	34
2	PSV Eindhoven	13	10	3	0	+19	33
3	Nijmegen	14	9	2	3	+7	29
4	Feyenoord	13	8	2	3	+13	26
5	AZ Alkmaar	14	8	2	4	+9	26
6	Heracles	13	8	2	3	+4	26
7	Twente	13	8	1	4	+5	25
8	Groningen	13	7	3	3	+5	24
9	Vitesse	14	7	2	5	+14	23
10	Zwolle	12	7	2	3	+4	23
11	Utrecht	11	5	4	2	+4	19
12	Heerenveen	13	5	4	4	-3	19
13	Den Haag	13	3	7	3	-1	16
14	Willem II	14	3	6	5	-3	15
15	Roda	14	3	6	5	-5	15
16	Excelsior	14	4	3	7	-8	15
17	De Graafschap	14	3	3	8	-6	12
18	Cambuur	13	2	4	7	-16	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	14	10	3	1	+24	33
2	Ajax	13	9	3	1	+18	30
3	AZ Alkmaar	13	6	2	5	+2	20
4	Feyenoord	14	6	2	6	+1	20
5	Den Haag	14	5	3	6	-1	18
6	Vitesse	13	4	5	4	+5	17
7	Zwolle	13	4	3	6	+2	15
8	Heerenveen	14	4	3	7	-11	15
9	Utrecht	13	4	2	7	+0	14
10	Roda	13	3	4	6	-10	13
11	Heracles	12	3	3	6	-7	12
12	Willem II	13	2	4	7	-7	10
13	Nijmegen	12	2	4	6	-7	10
14	Excelsior	13	2	4	7	-12	10
15	Groningen	13	2	4	7	-14	10
16	Twente	14	2	3	9	-18	9
17	Cambuur	14	1	3	10	-21	6
18	De Graafschap	13	1	2	10	-16	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.