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La Liga

Referee: Daniel Ocon Arraiz

Ath Madrid

T S U U S

5–0

Full-time

Sp Gijon

U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Sp Gijon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

1,5

Conceded

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

0,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

53% Possession 47%

18 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 7

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 7. · Sp Gijon 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	3	0	1	+8	9
2	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Sevilla	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Sp Gijon	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Las Palmas	3	2	0	1	+5	6
6	Eibar	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Ath Madrid	3	1	2	0	+4	5
8	Villarreal	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Alaves	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Betis	4	1	2	1	-3	5
11	La Coruna	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Leganes	4	1	1	2	-4	4
14	Ath Bilbao	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Espanol	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Malaga	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Granada	4	0	2	2	-5	2
18	Osasuna	3	0	1	2	-5	1
19	Valencia	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Celta	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Sp Gijon	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Barcelona	2	1	0	1	+3	3
6	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	La Coruna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Betis	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Ath Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Granada	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Malaga	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Leganes	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Celta	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+4	4
3	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Las Palmas	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Leganes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Betis	2	1	0	1	-3	3
12	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Sevilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Sp Gijon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	La Coruna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Osasuna	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Granada	2	0	1	1	-4	1
19	Celta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.