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Referee: Nicolas Laforge

Westerlo

T T T T T

1–3

Full-time

Royal Excel Mouscron

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Westerlo Royal Excel Mouscron

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

4,0

3,2

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

2,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-1,2

This season — Pro League · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

4,0

3,2

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

2,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

48% Possession 52%

9 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 0

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Westerlo 16. · Royal Excel Mouscron 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	5	4	0	1	+9	12
2	Mechelen	7	3	3	1	+3	12
3	Charleroi	5	3	2	0	+3	11
4	Kortrijk	6	3	2	1	+1	11
5	Gent	4	3	1	0	+6	10
6	Club Brugge	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	Genk	6	3	1	2	+2	10
8	Standard	6	2	3	1	+3	9
9	Anderlecht	4	2	2	0	+5	8
10	Eupen	7	2	1	4	-5	7
11	Oostende	4	2	0	2	+0	6
12	Lokeren	6	2	0	4	-4	6
13	Beveren	6	1	2	3	-3	5
14	St Truiden	6	1	1	4	-5	4
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	6	1	0	5	-7	3
16	Westerlo	6	0	1	5	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gent	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Kortrijk	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Standard	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Club Brugge	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Genk	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Charleroi	3	2	1	0	+2	7
7	Waregem	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Oostende	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	Lokeren	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	St Truiden	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Mechelen	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Eupen	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Beveren	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	4	1	0	3	-5	3
16	Westerlo	3	0	1	2	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mechelen	4	2	2	0	+3	8
2	Waregem	3	2	0	1	+5	6
3	Anderlecht	3	1	2	0	+1	5
4	Charleroi	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Kortrijk	3	1	1	1	-3	4
6	Club Brugge	3	1	0	2	+0	3
7	Genk	3	1	0	2	+0	3
8	Eupen	4	1	0	3	-4	3
9	Standard	3	0	2	1	-1	2
10	Gent	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Beveren	3	0	1	2	-2	1
12	Oostende	2	0	0	2	-2	0
13	Royal Excel Mouscron	2	0	0	2	-2	0
14	St Truiden	3	0	0	3	-5	0
15	Lokeren	3	0	0	3	-5	0
16	Westerlo	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.