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La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea
Leganes
S U T
1–5
Full-time
Barcelona
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,3
3,7
Scored
0,7
3,0
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,3
This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,3
4,0
Scored
0,7
2,7
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

37% Possession 63%
15 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 5
2 Offside 3
28 Free kicks against 7
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leganes 11. · Barcelona 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Sevilla 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Sp Gijon 3 2 1 0 +2 7
4 Las Palmas 3 2 0 1 +5 6
5 Barcelona 3 2 0 1 +4 6
6 Eibar 3 2 0 1 +1 6
7 Ath Madrid 3 1 2 0 +4 5
8 Villarreal 3 1 2 0 +2 5
9 Alaves 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Betis 4 1 2 1 -3 5
11 Leganes 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 La Coruna 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Sociedad 3 1 1 1 -1 4
14 Ath Bilbao 3 1 0 2 -1 3
15 Espanol 3 0 2 1 -2 2
16 Malaga 3 0 2 1 -2 2
17 Granada 4 0 2 2 -5 2
18 Osasuna 3 0 1 2 -5 1
19 Valencia 3 0 0 3 -4 0
20 Celta 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leganes Barcelona
15′
⚽ L. Messi 0–1
L. Suárez
24′
🟨 Ivan Rakitić
Carl Medjani 🟨
27′
31′
⚽ L. Suárez 0–2
L. Messi
Víctor Díaz 🟨
39′
44′
⚽ Neymar 0–3
L. Suárez
Half-time 0–3
Rubén Pérez 🔁
↦ C. Medjani
46′
Unai Bustinza 🟨
54′
55′
⚽ L. Messi 0–4
56′
🔁 Paco Alcácer
↦ L. Suárez
57′
🔁 A. Turan
↦ I. Rakitić
A. Szymanowski 🔁
↦ Unai López
61′
Omar Ramos 🔁
↦ D. Machís
61′
64′
⚽ Rafinha 0–5
65′
🔁 Denis Suárez
↦ Iniesta
80′
🟨 Neymar
1–5 Gabriel ⚽
80′
Omar Ramos 🟨
87′
Full-time 1–5

Line-ups

Leganes

4-3-3
13 Serantes G
12 C. Medjani D
17 Víctor Díaz D
18 Pablo Ínsua D
3 Bustinza D
15 Diego Rico D
22 Lluis Sastre M
8 Gabriel M
19 Unai López M
7 D. Machís M
14 M. Koné F
Bench (7)
21 Rubén Pérez
11 A. Szymanowski
23 Omar Ramos
1 A. Brignoli
5 M. Mantovani
6 Alberto
9 Guerrero

Coach: Asier Garitano

Barcelona

3-4-3
1 M. ter Stegen G
14 J. Mascherano M
3 Piqué D
18 Jordi Alba D
23 S. Umtiti D
8 Iniesta M
4 I. Rakitić M
12 Rafinha M
10 L. Messi F
9 L. Suárez F
11 Neymar F
Bench (7)
17 Paco Alcácer
7 A. Turan
6 Denis Suárez
13 J. Cillessen
20 Sergi Roberto
21 André Gomes
24 J. Mathieu

Coach: Luis Enrique

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.