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La Liga
Referee: Santiago Jaime Latre
Leganes
T U U U T
0–0
Full-time
Ath Bilbao
T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Ath Bilbao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 36%
24%
47%
Points per game
0,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
47%
59%
Both score Ø 53%
41%
65%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
15 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 8
4 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leganes 16. · Ath Bilbao 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 16 12 4 0 +31 40
2 Sevilla 17 11 3 3 +15 36
3 Barcelona 17 10 5 2 +25 35
4 Ath Madrid 17 9 4 4 +17 31
5 Villarreal 17 8 6 3 +14 30
6 Sociedad 17 9 2 6 +3 29
7 Ath Bilbao 17 8 3 6 +3 27
8 Las Palmas 17 6 6 5 +3 24
9 Celta 17 7 3 7 -4 24
10 Eibar 17 6 5 6 +0 23
11 Espanol 17 5 8 4 -2 23
12 Alaves 17 5 7 5 -2 22
13 Malaga 17 5 6 6 -3 21
14 Betis 17 6 3 8 -9 21
15 La Coruna 17 4 5 8 -5 17
16 Leganes 17 4 4 9 -16 16
17 Valencia 16 3 4 9 -8 13
18 Sp Gijon 17 3 3 11 -17 12
19 Granada 17 1 6 10 -24 9
20 Osasuna 17 1 5 11 -21 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leganes Ath Bilbao
A. Szymanowski 🔁
↦ Omar Ramos
44′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Beñat
↦ San José
Víctor Díaz 🟨
51′
57′
🔁 Susaeta
↦ Iñaki Williams
65′
🟨 Aritz Aduriz
Rubén Pérez 🟨
67′
69′
🟨 Raúl García
Luciano 🔁
↦ D. Machís
74′
80′
🟨 Beñat Etxebarria
85′
🔁 De Marcos
↦ Muniain
Pablo Insua 🟨
89′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Leganes

4-2-3-1
1 N. Champagne G
17 Víctor Díaz D
18 Pablo Ínsua D
5 M. Mantovani D
4 Adrián Marín D
23 Omar Ramos M
21 Rubén Pérez M
24 Timor M
8 Gabriel M
9 Guerrero F
7 D. Machís M
Bench (7)
11 A. Szymanowski
20 Luciano
10 Toni
32 Mozo
22 D. Siovas
27 Álvaro Molina
31 Diego Barrios

Coach: Asier Garitano

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
1 Iraizoz G
6 San José M
24 Balenziaga D
2 Bóveda D
4 A. Laporte D
15 Lekue D
22 Raúl García M
8 Iturraspe M
20 Aduriz F
10 Muniain F
11 Iñaki Williams F
Bench (7)
7 Beñat
14 Susaeta
18 De Marcos
25 Saborit
3 Elustondo
32 Unai Simón
17 Mikel Rico

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Santiago Jaime Latre · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.