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La Liga
Referee: Carlos Clos Gomez
Ath Madrid
S U T S S
1–0
Full-time
Betis
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 44%
53%
35%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
41%
41%
Both score Ø 33%
24%
41%
Average goals
2,6
2,9
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
6 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 1
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Madrid 4. · Betis 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 16 12 4 0 +31 40
2 Barcelona 18 11 5 2 +30 38
3 Sevilla 17 11 3 3 +15 36
4 Ath Madrid 17 9 4 4 +17 31
5 Villarreal 17 8 6 3 +14 30
6 Sociedad 17 9 2 6 +3 29
7 Ath Bilbao 18 8 4 6 +3 28
8 Las Palmas 18 6 6 6 -2 24
9 Celta 17 7 3 7 -4 24
10 Eibar 17 6 5 6 +0 23
11 Espanol 17 5 8 4 -2 23
12 Alaves 17 5 7 5 -2 22
13 Malaga 17 5 6 6 -3 21
14 Betis 17 6 3 8 -9 21
15 La Coruna 17 4 5 8 -5 17
16 Leganes 18 4 5 9 -16 17
17 Valencia 16 3 4 9 -8 13
18 Sp Gijon 17 3 3 11 -17 12
19 Granada 17 1 6 10 -24 9
20 Osasuna 17 1 5 11 -21 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Madrid Betis
1–0 N. Gaitán
8′
Half-time 1–0
61′
🟨 Cristiano Piccini
Y. Carrasco 🔁
↦ N. Gaitán
63′
66′
🔁 Joaquín
↦ D. Brašanac
Šime Vrsaljko 🟨
69′
K. Gameiro 🔁
↦ Fernando Torres
70′
70′
🔁 Matías Nahuel
↦ José Carlos
79′
🟨 Álex Alegría
82′
🔁 R. Zozulya
↦ Álex Alegría
89′
🟨 Dani Ceballos
J. Giménez 🔁
↦ A. Griezmann
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
1 Moyà G
3 Filipe Luis D
2 D. Godín D
16 Š. Vrsaljko D
15 S. Savić D
14 Gabi M
23 N. Gaitán M
8 Saúl M
6 Koke M
9 Fernando Torres F
7 A. Griezmann F
Bench (7)
10 Y. Carrasco
21 K. Gameiro
24 J. Giménez
11 Á. Correa
20 Juanfran
26 Bernabé Barragán
44 K. Bare

Coach: D. Simeone

Betis

5-3-2
13 Adán G
15 R. Donk M
14 R. Durmisi D
12 C. Piccini D
20 G. Pezzella D
28 José Carlos D
22 D. Brašanac M
8 J. Martin M
10 Dani Ceballos M
24 Rubén Castro F
19 Álex Alegría F
Bench (7)
17 Joaquín
11 Matías Nahuel
18 R. Zozulya
3 Álex Martínez
16 Cejudo
1 Dani Giménez
2 Rafa Navarro

Coach: Víctor Sánchez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Carlos Clos Gomez · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.