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Eredivisie

Referee: Bjorn Kuipers

PSV Eindhoven

U S U S U

2–0

Full-time

Excelsior

S U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Excelsior

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

17%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

1,5

4,2

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

0,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 39%

53%

24%

Points per game

2,0

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

29%

71%

Both score Ø 56%

41%

71%

Average goals

1,9

3,2

Scored

1,5

1,4

Conceded

0,5

1,9

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,5

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%

27 Shots 4

10 Shots on target 1

9 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 8

10 Corners 3

7 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 3. · Excelsior 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	17	13	3	1	+35	42
2	Ajax	17	11	4	2	+22	37
3	PSV Eindhoven	17	9	7	1	+17	34
4	Heerenveen	17	9	4	4	+14	31
5	AZ Alkmaar	16	7	7	2	+9	28
6	Utrecht	15	6	6	3	+5	24
7	Twente	17	6	6	5	+3	24
8	Vitesse	17	6	5	6	+2	23
9	Heracles	17	5	6	6	-4	21
10	Willem II	17	4	7	6	-7	19
11	Nijmegen	17	4	7	6	-10	19
12	Groningen	16	4	5	7	-4	17
13	Sparta Rotterdam	17	4	5	8	-7	17
14	Den Haag	18	5	2	11	-15	17
15	Excelsior	17	4	4	9	-9	16
16	Zwolle	17	3	5	9	-21	14
17	Roda	17	1	10	6	-13	13
18	Go Ahead Eagles	18	3	3	12	-17	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	9	7	2	0	+22	23
2	Ajax	9	6	2	1	+13	20
3	Heerenveen	8	5	2	1	+7	17
4	Twente	9	4	3	2	+5	15
5	PSV Eindhoven	8	4	3	1	+4	15
6	Heracles	8	4	2	2	+5	14
7	Utrecht	8	4	2	2	+3	14
8	AZ Alkmaar	8	3	4	1	+4	13
9	Nijmegen	9	3	4	2	+0	13
10	Sparta Rotterdam	8	3	3	2	+2	12
11	Vitesse	8	3	2	3	+1	11
12	Excelsior	9	3	2	4	-1	11
13	Den Haag	8	3	1	4	-3	10
14	Go Ahead Eagles	9	3	1	5	-4	10
15	Willem II	9	2	4	3	-4	10
16	Groningen	8	2	3	3	-6	9
17	Zwolle	9	2	3	4	-10	9
18	Roda	8	0	5	3	-5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	8	6	1	1	+13	19
2	PSV Eindhoven	9	5	4	0	+13	19
3	Ajax	8	5	2	1	+9	17
4	AZ Alkmaar	8	4	3	1	+5	15
5	Heerenveen	9	4	2	3	+7	14
6	Vitesse	9	3	3	3	+1	12
7	Utrecht	7	2	4	1	+2	10
8	Twente	8	2	3	3	-2	9
9	Willem II	8	2	3	3	-3	9
10	Groningen	8	2	2	4	+2	8
11	Roda	9	1	5	3	-8	8
12	Heracles	9	1	4	4	-9	7
13	Den Haag	10	2	1	7	-12	7
14	Nijmegen	8	1	3	4	-10	6
15	Excelsior	8	1	2	5	-8	5
16	Sparta Rotterdam	9	1	2	6	-9	5
17	Zwolle	8	1	2	5	-11	5
18	Go Ahead Eagles	9	0	2	7	-13	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.