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La Liga
Referee: Javier Alberola Rojas
Valencia
U S U U U
0–1
Full-time
Girona
T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Girona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,2
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — La Liga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 20%
10%
30%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
10%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
60%
Average goals
1,5
2,6
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
27 Shots 5
9 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 9
11 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valencia 14. · Girona 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 10 6 3 1 +16 21
2 Ath Madrid 11 5 5 1 +7 20
3 Alaves 10 6 2 2 +5 20
4 Sevilla 10 6 1 3 +9 19
5 Espanol 10 5 3 2 +6 18
6 Real Madrid 11 5 2 4 +2 17
7 Levante 10 5 1 4 +1 16
8 Valladolid 11 4 4 3 +0 16
9 Getafe 10 4 3 3 +2 15
10 Celta 10 3 4 3 +4 13
11 Girona 10 3 4 3 -2 13
12 Sociedad 10 3 3 4 -1 12
13 Betis 10 3 3 4 -4 12
14 Valencia 10 1 8 1 -1 11
15 Eibar 10 3 2 5 -7 11
16 Ath Bilbao 10 1 7 2 -4 10
17 Villarreal 10 2 3 5 -2 9
18 Leganes 11 2 3 6 -7 9
19 Vallecano 10 1 3 6 -10 6
20 Huesca 10 1 2 7 -14 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valencia Girona
José Luis Gayà 🟨
28′
30′
🟨 Seydou Doumbia
Francis Coquelin 🟨
36′
39′
🟨 Marc Muniesa
40′
🟨 Carles Planas
Half-time 0–1
48′
Pere Pons 0–1
59′
🟨 Bono
60′
🔁 Alcalá
↦ S. Doumbia
M. Batshuayi 🔁
↦ Carlos Soler
73′
Gabriel Paulista 🟨
77′
78′
🔁 Álex Granell
↦ P. Roberts
Geoffrey Kondogbia 🟨
79′
K. Gameiro 🔁
↦ F. Coquelin
84′
Ferrán Torres 🔁
↦ D. Wass
85′
85′
🔁 K. Soni
↦ Borja García
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Valencia

4-4-2
13 Neto G
24 E. Garay D
5 Gabriel Paulista D
14 José Gayá D
18 D. Wass M
17 F. Coquelin M
6 G. Kondogbia M
7 Gonçalo Guedes M
8 Carlos Soler M
19 Rodrigo F
22 Santi Mina F
Bench (7)
23 M. Batshuayi
9 K. Gameiro
20 Ferrán Torres
1 Jaume Doménech
3 Rúben Vezo
4 J. Murillo
15 Toni Lato

Coach: Marcelino

Girona

3-4-2-1
13 Y. Bounou G
4 Ramalho D
2 B. Espinosa D
20 Muniesa D
21 Planas D
10 Borja García F
8 Pere Pons M
23 Aleix García M
17 P. Roberts F
29 Pedro Porro M
22 S. Doumbia F
Bench (7)
5 Alcalá
6 Álex Granell
27 K. Soni
1 Iraizoz
26 Y. Andzouana
28 Èric Montes
34 Valery

Coach: Eusebio Sacristán

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Javier Alberola Rojas · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.