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Bundesliga

Referee: Patrick Ittrich

Augsburg

U S T U S

2–2

Full-time

Nurnberg

T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg Nurnberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,7

4,0

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

1,7

2,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,7

This season — Bundesliga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 28%

33%

22%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

67%

44%

Both score Ø 67%

89%

44%

Average goals

3,3

3,2

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,6

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%

16 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 6

16 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Augsburg 9. · Nurnberg 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	9	6	3	0	+19	21
2	Bayern Munich	9	6	1	2	+7	19
3	Ein Frankfurt	10	5	2	3	+10	17
4	M'gladbach	9	5	2	2	+8	17
5	Werder Bremen	9	5	2	2	+3	17
6	RB Leipzig	9	4	4	1	+7	16
7	Hertha	9	4	4	1	+5	16
8	Hoffenheim	9	4	1	4	+5	13
9	Augsburg	9	3	3	3	+2	12
10	Wolfsburg	9	3	3	3	+0	12
11	Freiburg	9	3	3	3	-2	12
12	Leverkusen	9	3	2	4	-2	11
13	Mainz	9	2	3	4	-5	9
14	Nurnberg	9	2	3	4	-11	9
15	Schalke 04	9	2	1	6	-6	7
16	Hannover	9	1	3	5	-7	6
17	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	1	2	6	-15	5
18	Stuttgart	10	1	2	7	-18	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	5	4	1	0	+13	13
2	M'gladbach	4	4	0	0	+9	12
3	RB Leipzig	5	3	2	0	+9	11
4	Hertha	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Nurnberg	5	2	2	1	+3	8
6	Freiburg	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Mainz	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Werder Bremen	5	2	2	1	+0	8
9	Ein Frankfurt	4	2	1	1	+8	7
10	Hoffenheim	5	2	1	2	+4	7
11	Bayern Munich	4	2	1	1	+1	7
12	Augsburg	4	1	2	1	+2	5
13	Wolfsburg	5	1	2	2	-3	5
14	Hannover	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Leverkusen	4	1	1	2	-3	4
16	Stuttgart	5	1	1	3	-9	4
17	Schalke 04	4	1	0	3	-5	3
18	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	1	0	4	-6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	5	4	0	1	+6	12
2	Ein Frankfurt	6	3	1	2	+2	10
3	Werder Bremen	4	3	0	1	+3	9
4	Dortmund	4	2	2	0	+6	8
5	Wolfsburg	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Leverkusen	5	2	1	2	+1	7
7	Augsburg	5	2	1	2	+0	7
8	Hoffenheim	4	2	0	2	+1	6
9	Hertha	5	1	3	1	+0	6
10	M'gladbach	5	1	2	2	-1	5
11	RB Leipzig	4	1	2	1	-2	5
12	Schalke 04	5	1	1	3	-1	4
13	Freiburg	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Hannover	5	0	2	3	-6	2
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	0	2	2	-9	2
16	Mainz	4	0	1	3	-6	1
17	Stuttgart	5	0	1	4	-9	1
18	Nurnberg	4	0	1	3	-14	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.