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La Liga
Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera
Barcelona
S S S U U
1–0
Full-time
Valladolid
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Valladolid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
2,0
0,5
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,0
This season — La Liga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 46%
65%
26%
Points per game
2,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
65%
30%
Both score Ø 50%
61%
39%
Average goals
3,6
2,0
Scored
2,6
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,6
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%
20 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 0
5 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
3 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Barcelona 1. · Valladolid 15. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 23 15 6 2 +37 51
2 Ath Madrid 24 13 8 3 +17 47
3 Real Madrid 23 14 3 6 +13 45
4 Sevilla 23 10 7 6 +13 37
5 Getafe 24 9 9 6 +9 36
6 Alaves 23 10 5 8 -3 35
7 Sociedad 24 9 7 8 +5 34
8 Betis 23 9 5 9 -3 32
9 Valencia 23 6 13 4 +4 31
10 Eibar 24 7 10 7 -1 31
11 Levante 24 8 6 10 -7 30
12 Leganes 24 7 8 9 -5 29
13 Espanol 23 8 4 11 -10 28
14 Ath Bilbao 23 5 12 6 -5 27
15 Valladolid 23 6 8 9 -9 26
16 Celta 24 6 6 12 -7 24
17 Girona 23 5 9 9 -10 24
18 Vallecano 24 6 5 13 -14 23
19 Villarreal 23 3 11 9 -8 20
20 Huesca 23 4 6 13 -16 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barcelona Valladolid
11′
🟨 Enes Ünal
34′
🟨 Anuar
1–0 L. Messi ⚽
43′
Half-time 1–0
L. Suárez 🔁
↦ K. Boateng
60′
Lionel Messi 🟨
67′
67′
🔁 Toni Suárez
↦ D. Verde
70′
🟨 Míchel Herrero
Philippe Coutinho 🔁
↦ O. Dembélé
70′
I. Rakitić 🔁
↦ Carles Aleñà
76′
76′
🔁 S. Plaza
↦ Toni Suárez
79′
🔁 Keko
↦ E. Ünal
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen G
24 T. Vermaelen D
3 Piqué D
18 Jordi Alba D
20 Sergi Roberto D
22 A. Vidal M
5 Sergio Busquets M
21 Carles Aleñà M
10 L. Messi F
19 K. Boateng M
11 O. Dembélé F
Bench (7)
9 L. Suárez
7 Philippe Coutinho
4 I. Rakitić
2 Nélson Semedo
14 Malcom
15 C. Lenglet
30 Iñaki Peña

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Valladolid

3-4-1-2
1 Jordi Masip G
4 Kiko Olivas D
18 Antoñito D
22 Nacho Martínez D
5 Fernando Calero D
21 Míchel M
2 Joaquín Fernández D
23 Anuar Tuhami M
12 Sergi Guardiola F
9 E. Ünal F
11 D. Verde F
Bench (7)
19 Toni Suárez
42 S. Plaza
24 Keko
8 Borja Fernández
13 Yoel
17 Javi Moyano
20 D. Čop

Coach: Sergio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

Juan Martinez Munuera · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.