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Serie A
Referee: Antonio Damato
Genoa
S T S S T
0–0
Full-time
Napoli
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Napoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
4,0
Scored
2,0
3,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+2,0
This season — Serie A · 3/4 matches
Win Ø 71%
67%
75%
Points per game
2,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 71%
67%
75%
Average goals
3,3
4,3
Scored
2,0
3,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%
12 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 8
4 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genoa 9. · Napoli 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 4 3 1 0 +7 10
2 Juventus 4 3 0 1 +3 9
3 Milan 5 3 0 2 +1 9
4 Bologna 5 3 0 2 -2 9
5 Roma 4 2 1 1 +4 7
6 Chievo 4 2 1 1 +2 7
7 Lazio 5 2 1 2 +1 7
8 Inter 4 2 1 1 +0 7
9 Genoa 3 2 0 1 +2 6
10 Fiorentina 3 2 0 1 +1 6
11 Sampdoria 5 2 0 3 -2 6
12 Sassuolo 4 2 0 2 -2 6
13 Udinese 4 2 0 2 -2 6
14 Torino 4 1 1 2 +2 4
15 Cagliari 4 1 1 2 +0 4
16 Pescara 4 1 1 2 -1 4
17 Empoli 4 1 1 2 -2 4
18 Atalanta 4 1 0 3 -4 3
19 Palermo 4 0 2 2 -4 2
20 Crotone 4 0 1 3 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genoa Napoli
G. Simeone 🔁
↦ L. Pavoletti
31′
Lucas Orbán 🟨
32′
Half-time 0–0
52′
🟨 Elseid Hysaj
Tomás Rincón 🟨
53′
68′
🔁 L. Insigne
↦ D. Mertens
73′
🔁 P. Zieliński
↦ Allan
Olivier Ntcham 🟨
75′
Giovanni Simeone 🟨
77′
E. Muñoz 🔁
↦ D. Lazović
78′
79′
🟨 Jorginho
82′
🔁 M. Gabbiadini
↦ A. Milik
Edenilson 🔁
↦ L. Ocampos
88′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Genoa

3-4-1-2
1 M. Perin G
8 N. Burdisso D
21 L. Orbán D
5 A. Izzo D
30 L. Rigoni M
22 D. Lazović M
88 T. Rincón M
93 D. Laxalt M
10 O. Ntcham M
19 L. Pavoletti F
11 L. Ocampos M
Bench (12)
9 G. Simeone
24 E. Muñoz
2 Edenilson
99 N. Ninković
3 S. Gentiletti
4 I. Cofie
13 S. Gakpé
23 E. Lamanna
27 G. Pandev
28 D. Brivio
29 R. Fiamozzi
38 L. Zima

Coach: I. Juric

Napoli

4-3-3
25 Pepe Reina G
33 Albiol D
26 K. Koulibaly D
2 E. Hysaj D
31 F. Ghoulam D
17 M. Hamšík M
5 Allan M
8 Jorginho M
14 D. Mertens F
7 José Callejón F
99 A. Milik F
Bench (12)
24 L. Insigne
20 P. Zieliński
23 M. Gabbiadini
1 Rafael
3 I. Strinić
4 E. Giaccherini
11 C. Maggio
19 N. Maksimović
22 L. Sepe
30 M. Rog
42 A. Diawara
62 L. Tonelli

Coach: M. Sarri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Antonio Damato · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.