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Ligue 1

Referee: Ruddy Buquet

Rennes

T S U S T

3–2

Full-time

Marseille

U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Marseille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

40%

20%

Points per game

1,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

20%

40%

Both score Ø 30%

20%

40%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%

13 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 4

11 Free kicks against 24

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Rennes 11. · Marseille 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	6	4	2	0	+7	14
2	Paris SG	6	4	1	1	+11	13
3	Monaco	6	4	1	1	+5	13
4	Bordeaux	6	4	0	2	+3	12
5	Toulouse	6	3	2	1	+4	11
6	Guingamp	6	3	2	1	+3	11
7	Lyon	6	3	1	2	+5	10
8	Metz	6	3	1	2	+0	10
9	St Etienne	6	2	3	1	+2	9
10	Angers	6	3	0	3	+0	9
11	Rennes	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Bastia	6	2	1	3	+0	7
13	Montpellier	6	1	3	2	-5	6
14	Caen	6	2	0	4	-8	6
15	Marseille	5	1	2	2	+0	5
16	Nantes	6	1	2	3	-4	5
17	Nancy	6	1	2	3	-5	5
18	Lille	6	1	1	4	-5	4
19	Dijon	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	Lorient	6	1	0	5	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Paris SG	3	2	1	0	+6	7
3	Monaco	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	St Etienne	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Guingamp	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Lyon	3	2	0	1	+4	6
7	Toulouse	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Rennes	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Angers	3	2	0	1	+2	6
10	Bordeaux	3	2	0	1	+1	6
11	Metz	3	2	0	1	+0	6
12	Caen	3	2	0	1	-3	6
13	Marseille	3	1	2	0	+2	5
14	Montpellier	3	1	2	0	+1	5
15	Dijon	3	1	1	1	+1	4
16	Bastia	3	1	1	1	+0	4
17	Lille	3	1	0	2	-3	3
18	Lorient	3	1	0	2	-4	3
19	Nantes	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Nancy	3	0	1	2	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	2	0	1	+5	6
2	Bordeaux	3	2	0	1	+2	6
3	Monaco	3	2	0	1	+0	6
4	Toulouse	4	1	2	1	+0	5
5	Guingamp	3	1	1	1	+1	4
6	Lyon	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Nice	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Metz	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Nantes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Nancy	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Bastia	3	1	0	2	+0	3
12	Angers	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	St Etienne	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Lille	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Rennes	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Montpellier	3	0	1	2	-6	1
17	Marseille	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Lorient	3	0	0	3	-4	0
19	Caen	3	0	0	3	-5	0
20	Dijon	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.