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Bundesliga
Referee: Jochen Drees
Leverkusen
T S T S T
0–0
Full-time
Augsburg
U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

72% Possession 28%
14 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leverkusen 13. · Augsburg 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 4 3 0 1 +10 9
2 Bayern Munich 3 3 0 0 +10 9
3 Hertha 3 3 0 0 +5 9
4 Ein Frankfurt 4 3 0 1 +3 9
5 RB Leipzig 3 2 1 0 +5 7
6 FC Koln 3 2 1 0 +5 7
7 M'gladbach 3 2 0 1 +2 6
8 Freiburg 4 2 0 2 -1 6
9 Wolfsburg 4 1 2 1 -2 5
10 Mainz 3 1 1 1 +1 4
11 Hoffenheim 4 0 4 0 +0 4
12 Darmstadt 4 1 1 2 -7 4
13 Leverkusen 3 1 0 2 +0 3
14 Augsburg 3 1 0 2 -3 3
15 FC Ingolstadt 04 4 0 1 3 -6 1
16 Hamburg 4 0 1 3 -7 1
17 Schalke 04 3 0 0 3 -5 0
18 Werder Bremen 3 0 0 3 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leverkusen Augsburg
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Paul Verhaegh
46′
🔁 P. Max
↦ Ja-Cheol Koo
S. Kießling 🔁
↦ J. Hernández
65′
J. Brandt 🔁
↦ H. Çalhanoğlu
66′
71′
🟨 Jeffrey Gouweleeuw
J. Pohjanpalo 🔁
↦ L. Bender
76′
83′
🔁 Halil Altıntop
↦ J. Morávek
85′
🔁 C. Janker
↦ G. Kačar
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Leverkusen

4-4-2
1 B. Leno G
6 A. Dragović D
18 Wendell D
4 J. Tah D
8 L. Bender M
20 C. Aránguiz M
44 K. Kampl M
39 B. Henrichs D
7 J. Hernández F
31 K. Volland F
10 H. Çalhanoğlu F
Bench (7)
11 S. Kießling
19 J. Brandt
17 J. Pohjanpalo
14 A. Mehmedi
15 J. Baumgartlinger
21 Ö. Toprak
28 R. Özcan

Coach: R. Schmidt

Augsburg

4-2-3-1
35 M. Hitz G
2 P. Verhaegh D
36 M. Hinteregger D
3 K. Stafylidis D
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
10 D. Baier M
20 G. Kačar M
14 J. Morávek M
19 Ja-Cheol Koo M
27 A. Finnbogason F
22 Dong-Won Ji M
Bench (7)
31 P. Max
7 Halil Altıntop
16 C. Janker
1 A. Luthe
8 M. Feulner
11 J. Schmid
25 R. Bobadilla

Coach: D. Schuster

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jochen Drees · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.