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Serie A
Referee: Serra Marco
Chievo
T T T T S
1–1
Full-time
Palermo
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chievo Palermo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,8
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
2,7
2,8
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-1,8
This season — Serie A · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 24%
35%
12%
Points per game
1,2
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
56%
53%
Both score Ø 58%
53%
62%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
1,6
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
5 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 20
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Chievo 12. · Palermo 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 35 27 4 4 +48 85
2 Napoli 35 23 8 4 +45 77
3 Roma 34 24 3 7 +44 75
4 Lazio 34 20 7 7 +24 67
5 Atalanta 35 19 8 8 +19 65
6 Milan 34 17 8 9 +13 59
7 Inter 34 17 5 12 +20 56
8 Fiorentina 34 15 10 9 +8 55
9 Torino 35 12 14 9 +9 50
10 Sampdoria 34 12 10 12 +0 46
11 Udinese 35 12 8 15 -5 44
12 Chievo 34 12 5 17 -15 41
13 Cagliari 35 12 5 18 -19 41
14 Sassuolo 34 11 6 17 -8 39
15 Bologna 34 10 8 16 -14 38
16 Genoa 34 7 9 18 -26 30
17 Empoli 34 7 8 19 -31 29
18 Crotone 34 6 7 21 -25 25
19 Palermo 34 4 7 23 -44 19
20 Pescara 34 2 8 24 -43 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Chievo Palermo
21′
🟨 Mato Jajalo
41′
🟨 Giancarlo González
Half-time 0–0
Boštjan Cesar 🟨
46′
R. Inglese 🔁
↦ M. Izco
46′
54′
🔁 Bruno Henrique
↦ A. Gazzi
1–0 S. Pellissier
67′
77′
🟨 Roland Sallai
77′
🔁 A. Trajkovski
↦ R. Sallai
J. de Guzmán 🔁
↦ S. Bastien
79′
Alessandro Gamberini 🟨
82′
G. Sardo 🔁
↦ B. Cesar
84′
86′
🔁 S. Lo Faso
↦ G. González
Valter Birsa 🟨
87′
88′
E. Goldaniga 1–1
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Chievo

4-3-1-2
70 S. Sorrentino G
12 B. Cesar D
5 A. Gamberini D
21 N. Frey D
29 F. Cacciatore D
23 V. Birsa M
13 M. Izco M
8 I. Radovanović M
19 L. Castro M
28 S. Bastien M
31 S. Pellissier F
Bench (12)
45 R. Inglese
1 J. de Guzmán
20 G. Sardo
7 S. Gakpé
80 S. Kiyine
15 C. Pogliano
16 E. Sbampato
90 A. Seculin
9 A. Isufaj
32 W. Bressan
77 M. Troiani
3 D. Dainelli

Coach: R. Maran

Palermo

3-1-4-2
68 A. Fulignati G
15 T. Cionek D
4 S. Anđelković D
12 G. González D
19 H. Aleesami D
6 E. Goldaniga D
14 A. Gazzi M
23 A. Diamanti F
28 M. Jajalo M
18 I. Chochev M
20 R. Sallai M
Bench (11)
25 Bruno Henrique
8 A. Trajkovski
98 S. Lo Faso
2 R. Vitiello
61 G. Ruggiero
97 G. Pezzella
55 L. Marson
56 A. Punzi
44 T. Šunjić
1 J. Posavec
22 N. Balogh

Coach: D. Bortoluzzi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.