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Eredivisie
Referee: Bjorn Kuipers
PSV Eindhoven
S S S S T
1–0
Full-time
Feyenoord
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Feyenoord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,7
Scored
2,3
2,5
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,3
This season — Eredivisie · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 88%
75%
100%
Points per game
2,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,8
Scored
2,3
3,0
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
17 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 7
2 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 7. · Feyenoord 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 4 4 0 0 +9 12
2 AZ Alkmaar 5 4 0 1 +5 12
3 Heerenveen 5 3 2 0 +4 11
4 Ajax 5 3 1 1 +6 10
5 Zwolle 5 3 1 1 +2 10
6 Vitesse 4 3 0 1 +7 9
7 PSV Eindhoven 4 3 0 1 +4 9
8 Utrecht 5 3 0 2 +2 9
9 VVV Venlo 4 2 1 1 +2 7
10 Heracles 5 1 2 2 -2 5
11 Groningen 5 1 2 2 -2 5
12 Sparta Rotterdam 5 1 2 2 -4 5
13 Excelsior 5 1 1 3 -4 4
14 Den Haag 5 1 1 3 -5 4
15 NAC Breda 5 1 1 3 -6 4
16 Twente 5 1 0 4 -1 3
17 Willem II 5 1 0 4 -7 3
18 Roda 5 0 0 5 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Feyenoord
1–0 G. Pereiro
J. Locadia
2′
16′
🟨 Steven Berghuis
S. Lammers 🔁
↦ L. de Jong
18′
23′
🟨 Jan-Arie Van der Heijden
43′
🟨 Steven Berghuis
43′
🟥 Steven Berghuis
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Amrabat
↦ M. Kramer
Steven Bergwijn 🟨
50′
B. Ramselaar 🔁
↦ S. Bergwijn
59′
60′
🟨 Ridgeciano Haps
68′
🟨 Jens Toornstra
72′
🔁 B. Basaçikoglu
↦ R. Haps
84′
🔁 D. Vente
↦ J. van der Heijden
P. Rosario 🔁
↦ G. Pereiro
86′
Bart Ramselaar 🟨
87′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 J. Zoet G
5 D. Schwaab D
4 S. Arias D
2 N. Isimat-Mirin D
20 J. Brenet D
10 M. van Ginkel M
8 J. Hendrix M
9 L. de Jong F
19 J. Locadia F
7 G. Pereiro M
17 S. Bergwijn F
Bench (11)
14 S. Lammers
23 B. Ramselaar
18 P. Rosario
50 A. Obispo
3 D. Luckassen
13 E. Room
16 D. Rigo
25 A. Maher
29 Albert Gudmundsson
31 Y. van Osch
32 K. Paal

Coach: P. Cocu

Feyenoord

4-3-3
25 B. Jones G
6 J. van der Heijden D
33 Eric Botteghin D
5 R. Haps D
17 K. Diks D
8 K. El Ahmadi M
28 J. Toornstra M
10 T. Vilhena M
29 M. Kramer F
19 S. Berghuis F
7 J. Boëtius F
Bench (10)
21 S. Amrabat
14 B. Basaçikoglu
34 D. Vente
4 J. St. Juste
11 S. Larsson
18 M. Nelom
20 R. Tapia
22 J. Bijlow
30 R. ten Hove
36 E. Hansson

Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Bjorn Kuipers · 97 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.