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Eredivisie

Referee: Dennis Higler

Vitesse

S S S T S

1–1

Full-time

VVV Venlo

S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse VVV Venlo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

2,3

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 63%

75%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,5

Scored

2,8

1,5

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%

20 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 15

5 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vitesse 6. · VVV Venlo 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	AZ Alkmaar	5	4	0	1	+5	12
3	Heerenveen	5	3	2	0	+4	11
4	Ajax	5	3	1	1	+6	10
5	Zwolle	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Vitesse	4	3	0	1	+7	9
7	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	0	1	+4	9
8	Utrecht	5	3	0	2	+2	9
9	VVV Venlo	4	2	1	1	+2	7
10	Heracles	5	1	2	2	-2	5
11	Groningen	5	1	2	2	-2	5
12	Sparta Rotterdam	5	1	2	2	-4	5
13	Excelsior	5	1	1	3	-4	4
14	Den Haag	5	1	1	3	-5	4
15	NAC Breda	5	1	1	3	-6	4
16	Twente	5	1	0	4	-1	3
17	Willem II	5	1	0	4	-7	3
18	Roda	5	0	0	5	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Zwolle	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Utrecht	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	AZ Alkmaar	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Groningen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Heracles	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	NAC Breda	3	1	1	1	-2	4
12	Twente	2	1	0	1	+3	3
13	Vitesse	2	1	0	1	+2	3
14	VVV Venlo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
15	Den Haag	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Willem II	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Roda	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Excelsior	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heerenveen	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	Vitesse	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Excelsior	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Ajax	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	VVV Venlo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	PSV Eindhoven	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Den Haag	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Utrecht	3	1	0	2	-2	3
11	Willem II	3	1	0	2	-5	3
12	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Zwolle	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	NAC Breda	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	Twente	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Roda	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.