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Serie A

Referee: Marco Guida

Bologna

T T U S S

2–1

Full-time

Spal

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Spal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,0

This season — Serie A · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 29%

43%

14%

Points per game

1,6

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

29%

Both score Ø 43%

43%

Average goals

1,9

2,6

Scored

0,9

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%

14 Shots 7

2 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 5

3 Offside 7

20 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bologna 10. · Spal 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	8	8	0	0	+21	24
2	Juventus	8	6	1	1	+14	19
3	Lazio	8	6	1	1	+11	19
4	Inter	7	6	1	0	+11	19
5	Roma	7	5	0	2	+9	15
6	Torino	7	3	3	1	+1	12
7	Milan	7	4	0	3	+0	12
8	Chievo	7	3	2	2	+0	11
9	Sampdoria	6	3	2	1	+0	11
10	Bologna	7	3	2	2	-1	11
11	Fiorentina	8	3	1	4	+1	10
12	Atalanta	7	2	3	2	+2	9
13	Udinese	8	2	0	6	-2	6
14	Cagliari	7	2	0	5	-7	6
15	Spal	7	1	2	4	-6	5
16	Crotone	7	1	2	4	-8	5
17	Sassuolo	7	1	1	5	-11	4
18	Verona	7	0	3	4	-13	3
19	Genoa	7	0	2	5	-6	2
20	Benevento	7	0	0	7	-16	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	5	4	0	1	+10	12
2	Napoli	3	3	0	0	+11	9
3	Inter	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Milan	4	3	0	1	+2	9
5	Lazio	4	2	1	1	+5	7
6	Atalanta	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Fiorentina	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Udinese	4	2	0	2	+3	6
9	Sampdoria	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	Roma	4	2	0	2	+2	6
11	Torino	3	1	2	0	+3	5
12	Chievo	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Spal	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Crotone	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Cagliari	3	1	0	2	-2	3
16	Bologna	3	0	2	1	-3	2
17	Sassuolo	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Genoa	4	0	1	3	-4	1
19	Verona	4	0	1	3	-10	1
20	Benevento	4	0	0	4	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	5	5	0	0	+10	15
2	Lazio	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Inter	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Roma	3	3	0	0	+7	9
5	Bologna	4	3	0	1	+2	9
6	Juventus	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	Chievo	4	2	1	1	+0	7
8	Torino	4	2	1	1	-2	7
9	Sampdoria	4	1	2	1	-3	5
10	Fiorentina	4	1	0	3	+0	3
11	Milan	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Cagliari	4	1	0	3	-5	3
13	Sassuolo	4	1	0	3	-8	3
14	Atalanta	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Verona	3	0	2	1	-3	2
16	Genoa	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Spal	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Crotone	3	0	1	2	-5	1
19	Udinese	4	0	0	4	-5	0
20	Benevento	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.