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Serie A
Referee: Massimiliano Irrati
Milan
U S T S T
0–0
Full-time
Torino
T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milan Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — Serie A · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 39%
46%
31%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
54%
62%
Both score Ø 54%
46%
62%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
17 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 4
7 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 21
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Milan 9. · Torino 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 14 11 3 0 +18 36
2 Napoli 13 11 2 0 +25 35
3 Juventus 13 10 1 2 +23 31
4 Roma 12 10 0 2 +15 30
5 Lazio 12 9 1 2 +18 28
6 Sampdoria 13 8 2 3 +9 26
7 Bologna 14 6 2 6 +0 20
8 Chievo 14 5 5 4 -4 20
9 Milan 13 6 1 6 +1 19
10 Torino 13 4 6 3 -2 18
11 Fiorentina 13 5 2 6 +4 17
12 Atalanta 13 4 4 5 +1 16
13 Cagliari 14 5 0 9 -11 15
14 Udinese 12 4 0 8 -5 12
15 Crotone 13 3 3 7 -13 12
16 Sassuolo 14 3 2 9 -16 11
17 Spal 14 2 4 8 -11 10
18 Genoa 13 2 3 8 -8 9
19 Verona 14 2 3 9 -17 9
20 Benevento 13 0 0 13 -27 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Milan Torino
42′
🟨 Nicolás Burdisso
Half-time 0–0
62′
🟨 Tomás Rincón
69′
🔁 Iago Falqué
↦ A. Ljajić
H. Çalhanoğlu 🔁
↦ G. Bonaventura
71′
P. Cutrone 🔁
↦ N. Kalinić
77′
77′
🔁 L. Boyé
↦ M. Niang
87′
🔁 A. Acquah
↦ D. Baselli
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Milan

3-5-2
99 G. Donnarumma G
19 L. Bonucci D
17 C. Zapata D
68 R. Rodríguez D
13 A. Romagnoli D
18 R. Montolivo M
5 G. Bonaventura M
79 F. Kessié M
7 N. Kalinić F
9 André Silva F
8 Suso F
Bench (10)
10 H. Çalhanoğlu
63 P. Cutrone
47 R. Bellanova
29 G. Paletta
31 L. Antonelli
22 M. Musacchio
90 A. Donnarumma
15 G. Gómez
73 M. Locatelli
30 M. Storari

Coach: V. Montella

Torino

4-3-3
39 S. Sirigu G
13 N. Burdisso D
29 L. De Silvestri M
15 C. Ansaldi M
33 N. N'Koulou D
88 T. Rincón M
22 J. Obi M
8 D. Baselli M
10 A. Ljajić M
11 M. Niang F
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (12)
14 Iago Falqué
31 L. Boyé
6 A. Acquah
16 Samuel Gustafson
20 S. Edera
3 C. Molinaro
97 Lyanco
24 E. Moretti
5 M. Valdifiori
4 K. Bonifazi
32 V. Savić
21 Álex Berenguer

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

Massimiliano Irrati · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.