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Serie A

Referee: Fabrizio Pasqua

Sampdoria

U T T S T

3–1

Full-time

Fiorentina

U U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Fiorentina

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,3

1,3

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,7

This season — Serie A · 19/20 matches

Win Ø 41%

47%

35%

Points per game

1,6

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

74%

55%

Both score Ø 57%

58%

55%

Average goals

3,4

2,5

Scored

1,9

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%

15 Shots 12

10 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 7

7 Corners 4

1 Offside 5

5 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sampdoria 6. · Fiorentina 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	21	17	3	1	+32	54
2	Juventus	20	16	2	2	+34	50
3	Inter	20	12	6	2	+20	42
4	Lazio	19	12	4	3	+24	40
5	Roma	19	12	3	4	+16	39
6	Sampdoria	19	9	3	7	+7	30
7	Atalanta	21	8	6	7	+4	30
8	Fiorentina	20	7	7	6	+8	28
9	Udinese	19	9	1	9	+6	28
10	Torino	20	6	10	4	+1	28
11	Milan	20	8	4	8	-2	28
12	Bologna	20	7	3	10	-7	24
13	Chievo	20	5	7	8	-12	22
14	Genoa	20	5	6	9	-6	21
15	Sassuolo	20	6	3	11	-17	21
16	Cagliari	20	6	2	12	-13	20
17	Spal	20	3	6	11	-17	15
18	Crotone	20	4	3	13	-25	15
19	Verona	20	3	4	13	-23	13
20	Benevento	20	2	1	17	-30	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	10	8	1	1	+18	25
2	Napoli	10	7	2	1	+16	23
3	Inter	10	7	2	1	+13	23
4	Roma	11	7	1	3	+7	22
5	Sampdoria	9	7	0	2	+14	21
6	Atalanta	11	5	3	3	+7	18
7	Milan	10	5	2	3	+0	17
8	Fiorentina	10	4	4	2	+5	16
9	Udinese	10	5	0	5	+4	15
10	Lazio	8	4	2	2	+10	14
11	Torino	10	3	5	2	+4	14
12	Chievo	10	3	4	3	-2	13
13	Crotone	10	3	2	5	-6	11
14	Spal	10	2	4	4	-5	10
15	Cagliari	10	3	1	6	-5	10
16	Bologna	10	2	3	5	-5	9
17	Genoa	10	2	2	6	-6	8
18	Sassuolo	9	2	2	5	-6	8
19	Verona	10	2	1	7	-11	7
20	Benevento	11	2	1	8	-14	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	11	10	1	0	+16	31
2	Lazio	11	8	2	1	+14	26
3	Juventus	10	8	1	1	+16	25
4	Inter	10	5	4	1	+7	19
5	Roma	8	5	2	1	+9	17
6	Bologna	10	5	0	5	-2	15
7	Torino	10	3	5	2	-3	14
8	Udinese	9	4	1	4	+2	13
9	Genoa	10	3	4	3	+0	13
10	Sassuolo	11	4	1	6	-11	13
11	Fiorentina	10	3	3	4	+3	12
12	Atalanta	10	3	3	4	-3	12
13	Milan	10	3	2	5	-2	11
14	Cagliari	10	3	1	6	-8	10
15	Sampdoria	10	2	3	5	-7	9
16	Chievo	10	2	3	5	-10	9
17	Verona	10	1	3	6	-12	6
18	Spal	10	1	2	7	-12	5
19	Crotone	10	1	1	8	-19	4
20	Benevento	9	0	0	9	-16	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.