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Bundesliga

Referee: Robert Kampka

Bayern Munich

S S S S S

4–2

Full-time

Werder Bremen

S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Werder Bremen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 48%

78%

17%

Points per game

2,4

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

61%

33%

Both score Ø 39%

39%

Average goals

2,9

1,9

Scored

2,2

0,8

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,6

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

64% Possession 36%

15 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 7

5 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 19

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bayern Munich 1. · Werder Bremen 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	18	14	2	2	+28	44
2	Leverkusen	19	8	7	4	+12	31
3	RB Leipzig	19	9	4	6	+3	31
4	M'gladbach	19	9	4	6	+0	31
5	Dortmund	19	8	6	5	+15	30
6	Schalke 04	18	8	6	4	+5	30
7	Ein Frankfurt	19	8	6	5	+4	30
8	Augsburg	19	7	6	6	+3	27
9	Hoffenheim	19	7	6	6	+2	27
10	Hannover	18	7	5	6	-1	26
11	Hertha	19	6	7	6	+0	25
12	Freiburg	19	5	8	6	-13	23
13	Wolfsburg	19	3	11	5	-2	20
14	Stuttgart	19	6	2	11	-8	20
15	Mainz	19	5	5	9	-9	20
16	Werder Bremen	18	3	7	8	-7	16
17	Hamburg	19	4	3	12	-13	15
18	FC Koln	19	3	3	13	-19	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	8	7	1	0	+19	22
2	RB Leipzig	9	6	2	1	+9	20
3	M'gladbach	10	6	2	2	+4	20
4	Stuttgart	9	6	1	2	+5	19
5	Hannover	9	5	3	1	+7	18
6	Schalke 04	9	5	3	1	+6	18
7	Hoffenheim	10	5	3	2	+5	18
8	Freiburg	10	4	5	1	+3	17
9	Leverkusen	9	4	4	1	+7	16
10	Augsburg	10	4	4	2	+4	16
11	Mainz	10	5	1	4	+0	16
12	Hertha	10	4	3	3	+1	15
13	Dortmund	9	4	2	3	+9	14
14	Wolfsburg	10	2	6	2	+0	12
15	Hamburg	10	3	2	5	-3	11
16	Ein Frankfurt	9	2	3	4	-2	9
17	Werder Bremen	9	2	3	4	-3	9
18	FC Koln	9	2	1	6	-8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	10	7	1	2	+9	22
2	Ein Frankfurt	10	6	3	1	+6	21
3	Dortmund	10	4	4	2	+6	16
4	Leverkusen	10	4	3	3	+5	15
5	Schalke 04	9	3	3	3	-1	12
6	Augsburg	9	3	2	4	-1	11
7	M'gladbach	9	3	2	4	-4	11
8	RB Leipzig	10	3	2	5	-6	11
9	Hertha	9	2	4	3	-1	10
10	Hoffenheim	9	2	3	4	-3	9
11	Wolfsburg	9	1	5	3	-2	8
12	Hannover	9	2	2	5	-8	8
13	Werder Bremen	9	1	4	4	-4	7
14	Freiburg	9	1	3	5	-16	6
15	FC Koln	10	1	2	7	-11	5
16	Mainz	9	0	4	5	-9	4
17	Hamburg	9	1	1	7	-10	4
18	Stuttgart	10	0	1	9	-13	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.