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Eredivisie
Referee: Bjorn Kuipers
Ajax
U S S S S
2–0
Full-time
Feyenoord
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Feyenoord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,3
3,3
Scored
3,2
2,8
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+2,3
This season — Eredivisie · 18/17 matches
Win Ø 63%
72%
53%
Points per game
2,3
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
89%
47%
Both score Ø 57%
67%
47%
Average goals
3,9
3,1
Scored
3,0
2,2
Conceded
0,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
+2,1
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%
19 Shots 3
6 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 0
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Ajax 2. · Feyenoord 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 18 15 1 2 +28 46
2 Ajax 18 13 2 3 +37 41
3 AZ Alkmaar 19 12 3 4 +15 39
4 Zwolle 19 10 6 3 +6 36
5 Feyenoord 17 9 5 3 +21 32
6 Den Haag 18 8 3 7 -1 27
7 Utrecht 16 7 4 5 -3 25
8 Vitesse 17 6 6 5 +7 24
9 Heerenveen 18 6 6 6 -3 24
10 Excelsior 19 7 3 9 -5 24
11 VVV Venlo 19 5 8 6 -4 23
12 Heracles 18 6 4 8 -11 22
13 Groningen 18 5 5 8 +0 20
14 Twente 19 4 4 11 -9 16
15 Willem II 18 4 4 10 -13 16
16 NAC Breda 19 4 4 11 -16 16
17 Roda 19 3 3 13 -23 12
18 Sparta Rotterdam 19 2 5 12 -26 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ajax Feyenoord
22′
🟨 Jeremiah St. Juste
Justin Kluivert 🟨
23′
36′
🟨 Nicolai Jørgensen
38′
🟨 Sven van Beek
Half-time 1–0
1–0 D. van de Beek
50′
2–0 K. Huntelaar
J. Veltman
53′
58′
🟨 Nicolai Jørgensen
58′
🟥 Nicolai Jørgensen
63′
🔁 S. Amrabat
↦ S. Berghuis
73′
🔁 B. Basaçikoglu
↦ J. Boëtius
84′
🔁 R. Haps
↦ T. Malacia
S. de Jong 🔁
↦ D. van de Beek
85′
M. Wöber 🔁
↦ N. Tagliafico
89′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Ajax

4-3-3
1 A. Onana G
31 N. Tagliafico D
3 J. Veltman D
4 M. de Ligt D
20 L. Schöne M
10 H. Ziyech M
6 D. van de Beek M
21 F. de Jong M
9 K. Huntelaar F
45 J. Kluivert F
7 David Neres F
Bench (8)
23 S. de Jong
5 M. Wöber
11 A. Younes
15 C. Eiting
19 M. Cassierra
33 K. Lamprou
40 N. Mazraoui
42 D. Zeefuik

Coach: E. ten Hag

Feyenoord

4-3-3
25 B. Jones G
3 S. van Beek D
4 J. St. Juste D
35 T. Malacia D
8 K. El Ahmadi M
28 J. Toornstra M
20 R. Tapia M
10 T. Vilhena M
9 N. Jørgensen F
19 S. Berghuis F
7 J. Boëtius F
Bench (10)
21 S. Amrabat
14 B. Basaçikoglu
5 R. Haps
2 B. Nieuwkoop
11 S. Larsson
17 K. Diks
22 J. Bijlow
30 R. ten Hove
33 Eric Botteghin
34 D. Vente

Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Bjorn Kuipers · 97 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.