Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Frosinone
Juventus
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Juventus
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 12 |
| 2 |
Napoli
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 12 |
| 3 |
Fiorentina
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 10 |
| 4 |
Sassuolo
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |
Lazio
|
5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 9 |
| 6 |
Spal
|
5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +0 | 9 |
| 7 |
Udinese
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 8 |
Sampdoria
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 7 |
| 9 |
Inter
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 10 |
Parma
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |
Genoa
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 |
Atalanta
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 5 |
| 13 |
Milan
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +0 | 5 |
| 14 |
Roma
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 |
Torino
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 |
Cagliari
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 |
Empoli
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 18 |
Bologna
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 19 |
Chievo
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -8 | 2 |
| 20 |
Frosinone
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -10 | 1 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Sportiello
G
F. Zampano
M
E. Goldaniga
D
Coach: M. Longo
W. Szczęsny
G
D. Rugani
D
R. Bentancur
M
P. Dybala
F
Coach: M. Allegri
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Frosinone
Sampdoria
Lazio
Frosinone
Frosinone
Bologna
Atalanta
Frosinone
Napoli
Frosinone
Piero Giacomelli · 68 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.