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Ligue 1
Referee: H Ben El Hadj
Rennes
T S U S T
1–3
Full-time
Paris SG
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,8
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 70%
40%
100%
Points per game
1,4
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
60%
100%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
2,8
4,2
Scored
1,4
3,4
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

38% Possession 62%
14 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 4
5 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rennes 12. · Paris SG 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 5 5 0 0 +13 15
2 Lille 6 4 1 1 +6 13
3 Montpellier 6 3 2 1 +2 11
4 Toulouse 6 3 2 1 -1 11
5 Marseille 5 3 1 1 +7 10
6 Dijon 6 3 1 2 +3 10
7 St Etienne 6 2 3 1 -2 9
8 Strasbourg 6 2 2 2 +1 8
9 Nimes 6 2 2 2 +0 8
10 Reims 6 2 2 2 -2 8
11 Lyon 5 2 1 2 +2 7
12 Rennes 5 2 1 2 +0 7
13 Angers 6 2 1 3 -1 7
14 Nice 6 2 1 3 -4 7
15 Monaco 6 1 3 2 +0 6
16 Caen 6 1 3 2 -2 6
17 Nantes 6 1 2 3 -4 5
18 Amiens 6 1 1 4 -3 4
19 Bordeaux 5 1 1 3 -4 4
20 Guingamp 5 0 0 5 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rennes Paris SG
0–1 A. Rabiot
own goal
11′
Ramy Bensebaini 🟨
18′
18′
🟨 Julian Draxler
45′
Á. Di María 0–2
J. Draxler
Half-time 0–3
61′
T. Meunier 0–3
Neymar
H. Ben Arfa 🔁
↦ J. Lea Siliki
62′
63′
🟨 Juan Bernat
T. Siebatcheu 🔁
↦ B. Bourigeaud
75′
76′
🟨 Adrien Rabiot
78′
🔁 E. Choupo-Moting
↦ M. Verratti
R. Del Castillo 🔁
↦ M. Niang
81′
83′
E. Choupo-Moting 0–4
T. Meunier
87′
🔁 T. Kehrer
↦ T. Meunier
Hamari Traore 🟨
90′
91′
🔁 C. Nkunku
↦ Neymar
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Rennes

4-2-3-1
40 T. Koubek G
3 D. Da Silva D
4 Mexer D
27 H. Traoré D
15 R. Bensebaini D
8 C. Grenier M
21 B. André M
14 B. Bourigeaud M
12 J. Lea Siliki M
11 M. Niang F
7 I. Sarr M
Bench (7)
18 H. Ben Arfa
9 T. Siebatcheu
22 R. Del Castillo
2 M. Zeffane
16 A. Diallo
26 J. Gelin
28 D. Poha

Coach: S. Lamouchi

Paris SG

4-3-3
1 G. Buffon G
12 T. Meunier D
5 Marquinhos D
14 Juan Bernat D
3 P. Kimpembe D
11 Á. Di María F
6 M. Verratti M
23 J. Draxler M
25 A. Rabiot M
9 E. Cavani F
10 Neymar F
Bench (7)
17 E. Choupo-Moting
4 T. Kehrer
24 C. Nkunku
2 Thiago Silva
27 M. Diaby
34 S. Nsoki
50 S. Cibois

Coach: T. Tuchel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Ben El Hadj · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.