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La Liga

Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano

Barcelona

S S S S S

2–2

Full-time

Girona

S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Girona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

4,5

2,5

Scored

3,2

1,2

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-0,2

This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

75%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

4,3

2,8

Scored

3,5

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+2,8

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

67% Possession 33%

22 Shots 7

11 Shots on target 6

7 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 9

8 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 5

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barcelona 2. · Girona 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	5	4	1	0	+9	13
2	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+11	12
3	Alaves	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Celta	5	2	2	1	+2	8
5	Ath Madrid	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Sevilla	5	2	1	2	+4	7
7	Espanol	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Sociedad	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Getafe	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Eibar	5	2	1	2	-1	7
11	Girona	4	2	1	1	-1	7
12	Ath Bilbao	4	1	3	0	+1	6
13	Betis	5	1	3	1	-2	6
14	Villarreal	5	1	2	2	-1	5
15	Valencia	5	0	4	1	-2	4
16	Levante	5	1	1	3	-3	4
17	Huesca	5	1	1	3	-7	4
18	Valladolid	5	0	3	2	-2	3
19	Vallecano	4	1	0	3	-7	3
20	Leganes	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+9	6
3	Espanol	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Eibar	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Celta	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Ath Bilbao	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Getafe	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Girona	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Betis	3	1	1	1	-2	4
12	Valencia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Leganes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Villarreal	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Sevilla	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Levante	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	Sociedad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Valladolid	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Huesca	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Vallecano	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	+1	7
2	Sevilla	3	2	0	1	+6	6
3	Alaves	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Ath Madrid	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Huesca	3	1	1	1	-5	4
9	Levante	2	1	0	1	+2	3
10	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Celta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Valladolid	3	0	3	0	+0	3
13	Getafe	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Vallecano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Betis	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Valencia	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Ath Bilbao	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Espanol	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Eibar	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	Leganes	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.