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Serie A
Referee: Federico La Penna
Chievo
T U T T T
1–3
Full-time
Napoli
U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chievo Napoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
0,3
2,0
Conceded
2,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-2,3
+0,5
This season — Serie A · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 32%
3%
61%
Points per game
0,5
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
52%
61%
Both score Ø 49%
45%
52%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,9
Conceded
2,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
-1,4
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

30% Possession 70%
7 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 10
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Chievo 20. · Napoli 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 32 27 3 2 +43 84
2 Napoli 31 19 7 5 +31 64
3 Inter 31 17 6 8 +22 57
4 Milan 32 15 10 7 +16 55
5 Roma 32 15 9 8 +12 54
6 Atalanta 31 15 7 9 +23 52
7 Torino 32 12 14 6 +12 50
8 Lazio 31 14 7 10 +11 49
9 Sampdoria 32 14 6 12 +12 48
10 Fiorentina 32 8 16 8 +7 40
11 Sassuolo 32 8 13 11 -5 37
12 Cagliari 32 9 10 13 -13 37
13 Spal 32 9 8 15 -15 35
14 Parma 32 9 8 15 -17 35
15 Genoa 32 8 10 14 -16 34
16 Udinese 31 8 8 15 -14 32
17 Bologna 32 7 10 15 -16 31
18 Empoli 31 7 7 17 -19 28
19 Frosinone 31 5 8 18 -31 23
20 Chievo 31 1 11 19 -43 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Chievo Napoli
15′
K. Koulibaly 0–1
D. Mertens
Half-time 0–2
64′
A. Milik 0–2
P. Zieliński
M. Léris 🔁
↦ Emanuel Vignato
67′
67′
🔁 Allan
↦ L. Insigne
73′
🔁 A. Younes
↦ Fabián Ruiz
S. Grubac 🔁
↦ R. Meggiorini
74′
S. Kiyine 🔁
↦ M. Stępiński
80′
81′
🔁 S. Verdi
↦ José Callejón
81′
K. Koulibaly 0–3
1–3 B. Cesar
S. Kiyine
90′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Chievo

4-3-1-2
70 S. Sorrentino G
12 B. Cesar D
33 M. Andreolli D
5 F. Barba D
56 P. Hetemaj M
17 E. Giaccherini M
8 A. Dioussé M
27 F. Depaoli D
55 Emanuel Vignato F
69 R. Meggiorini F
9 M. Stępiński F
Bench (12)
11 M. Léris
25 S. Grubac
13 S. Kiyine
18 I. Karamoko
1 A. Šemper
40 N. Tomović
6 N. Frey
43 A. Ndrecka
7 Lucas Piazon
4 N. Rigoni
10 M. Pucciarelli
31 S. Pellissier

Coach: D. Di Carlo

Napoli

4-4-2
25 D. Ospina G
21 V. Chiricheș D
26 K. Koulibaly D
23 E. Hysaj D
31 F. Ghoulam D
20 P. Zieliński M
8 Fabián Ruiz M
14 D. Mertens F
7 José Callejón M
24 L. Insigne F
99 A. Milik F
Bench (11)
5 Allan
34 A. Younes
9 S. Verdi
18 G. Gaetano
13 S. Luperto
27 O. Karnezis
6 Mário Rui
2 K. Malcuit
19 N. Maksimović
11 A. Ounas
1 A. Meret

Coach: C. Ancelotti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Federico La Penna · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.