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Serie A
Referee: Massimiliano Irrati
Torino
S T U S U
1–1
Full-time
Cagliari
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Cagliari
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
This season — Serie A · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 34%
39%
29%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
42%
45%
Both score Ø 49%
52%
45%
Average goals
2,2
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
15 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 7
1 Red cards 2
The table before the match Torino 7. · Cagliari 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 32 27 3 2 +43 84
2 Napoli 31 19 7 5 +31 64
3 Inter 31 17 6 8 +22 57
4 Milan 32 15 10 7 +16 55
5 Roma 32 15 9 8 +12 54
6 Atalanta 31 15 7 9 +23 52
7 Torino 31 12 13 6 +12 49
8 Lazio 31 14 7 10 +11 49
9 Sampdoria 31 13 6 12 +10 45
10 Fiorentina 31 8 15 8 +7 39
11 Sassuolo 31 8 12 11 -5 36
12 Cagliari 31 9 9 13 -13 36
13 Spal 32 9 8 15 -15 35
14 Genoa 31 8 10 13 -14 34
15 Parma 31 9 7 15 -17 34
16 Udinese 31 8 8 15 -14 32
17 Bologna 31 7 9 15 -16 30
18 Empoli 31 7 7 17 -19 28
19 Frosinone 31 5 8 18 -31 23
20 Chievo 31 1 11 19 -43 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Torino Cagliari
1′
🟨 Nicolò Barella
Tomás Rincón 🟨
2′
20′
🟨 Paolo Faragò
O. Aina 🔁
↦ L. De Silvestri
40′
Álex Berenguer 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 Simone Padoin
Half-time 0–0
51′
🟨 Luca Pellegrini
1–0 S. Zaza
A. Izzo
52′
57′
🟨 Fabio Pisacane
66′
🔁 A. Cerri
↦ João Pedro
Simone Zaza 🟥
73′
V. Parigini 🔁
↦ Álex Berenguer
73′
73′
🔁 V. Birsa
↦ A. Ioniţă
75′
L. Pavoletti 1–1
L. Cigarini
82′
🟨 Luca Pellegrini
82′
🟥 Luca Pellegrini
85′
🔁 C. Lykogiannis
↦ L. Pavoletti
V. Damaşcan 🔁
↦ T. Rincón
87′
90′
🟨 Nicolò Barella
90′
🟥 Nicolò Barella
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Torino

3-4-2-1
39 S. Sirigu G
24 E. Moretti D
29 L. De Silvestri M
15 C. Ansaldi M
33 N. N'Koulou D
5 A. Izzo D
88 T. Rincón M
23 S. Meïté M
8 D. Baselli M
11 S. Zaza F
21 Álex Berenguer F
Bench (9)
34 O. Aina
27 V. Parigini
19 V. Damaşcan
7 S. Lukić
36 Bremer
17 W. Singo
25 A. Rosati
1 S. Ichazo
30 K. Djidji

Coach: W. Mazzarri

Cagliari

4-3-1-2
28 A. Cragno G
15 R. Klavan D
19 F. Pisacane D
3 Luca Pellegrini D
8 L. Cigarini M
20 S. Padoin D
21 A. Ioniţă M
10 João Pedro F
24 P. Faragò M
18 N. Barella M
30 L. Pavoletti F
Bench (12)
9 A. Cerri
14 V. Birsa
22 C. Lykogiannis
16 S. Aresti
56 F. Romagna
32 K. Despodov
26 M. Leverbe
17 C. Oliva
1 Rafael
6 F. Bradarić
33 D. Srna
77 C. Théréau

Coach: R. Maran

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Massimiliano Irrati · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.