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Eliteserien
Referee: Svein Oddvar Moen
Valerenga
U S S T T
4–1
Full-time
Tromso
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Tromso
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
This season — Eliteserien · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

48% Possession 52%
8 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valerenga 14. · Tromso 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Viking 3 3 0 0 +5 9
2 Bodo/Glimt 3 3 0 0 +4 9
3 Molde 4 2 1 1 +5 7
4 Odd 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 Sarpsborg 08 3 1 2 0 +1 5
6 Haugesund 3 1 1 1 +1 4
7 Stromsgodset 3 1 1 1 +0 4
8 Lillestrom 3 1 1 1 +0 4
9 Brann 4 1 1 2 -1 4
10 Stabaek 3 1 1 1 -1 4
11 Tromso 2 1 0 1 -1 3
12 Mjondalen 3 1 0 2 -2 3
13 Kristiansund 4 1 0 3 -3 3
14 Valerenga 3 1 0 2 -3 3
15 Rosenborg 3 0 1 2 -4 1
16 Ranheim 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valerenga Tromso
1–0 Bard Finne
Herolind Shala
13′
Sam Adekugbe 🟨
22′
1–1 Simen Wangberg
own goal
30′
Half-time 1–1
59′
🔁 Sigurd Grønli
↦ Mikael Ingebrigtsen
2–1 Chidera Ejuke
Bard Finne
60′
Erik Israelsson 🔁
↦ Magnus Lekven
64′
Deyver Vega 🔁
↦ Mohammed Abu
70′
71′
Johan Bjørdal 3–1
own goal
4–1 Herolind Shala
Matthías Vilhjálmsson
75′
77′
🔁 Tomas Stabell
↦ Kent-Are Antonsen
Aron Donnum 🔁
↦ Bard Finne
80′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Valerenga

4-3-3
21 Adam Kwarasey G
5 Efrain Juarez M
3 Johan Bjørdal D
4 Jonatan Nation D
25 Sam Adekugbe D
6 Herolind Shala F
14 Mohammed Abu M
8 Magnus Lekven M
40 Chidera Ejuke F
10 Matthías Vilhjálmsson F
11 Bard Finne M
Bench (7)
13 Kristoffer Klaesson
2 Markus Nakkim
22 Ivan Nasberg
26 Aron Donnum
16 Erik Israelsson
9 Fitim Azemi
7 Deyver Vega

Coach: R. Deila

Tromso

4-3-2-1
28 Jakob Karlstrom G
15 Magnus Andersen M
5 Anders Jenssen D
22 Simen Wangberg D
6 Juha Pirinen D
3 Kent-Are Antonsen M
7 Morten Gamst Pedersen M
18 Onni Valakari M
19 Marcus Pedersen F
17 Daniel Berntsen F
10 Mikael Ingebrigtsen F
Bench (6)
31 Erlend Jacobsen
8 Oliver Kjaergaard
25 Lasse Nilsen
9 Brayan Rojas
16 Sigurd Grønli
34 Tomas Stabell

Coach: S. Valakari

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Svein Oddvar Moen · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.